- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Event Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: Spectrum SportsNet LA
- Betting Odds: San Diego (+132) Los Angeles (-160)
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The Los Angeles Dodgers (57-31) are set to face off against the San Diego Padres (43-43) at Dodger Stadium this Saturday. The moneyline for this matchup has San Diego at +132 while Los Angeles comes in at -160. The total runs over/under is set at 9. Starting pitchers for this game will likely be Griffin Canning and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
The Padres have recorded 129 doubles and hit 92 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .375, they have struck out 717 times while drawing 286 walks. As a collective, the San Diego Padres are averaging 4.0 runs per game, placing them 30th in the MLB. They’ve amassed 332 RBIs and 634 hits with a batting average of .225, contributing to a total of 340 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .301.
San Diego’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.35. They have surrendered 94 home runs along with a total of 381 runs, ranking them 12th in the MLB. The Padres have given up 717 hits (averaging 8.5 hits per 9 innings) and 360 earned runs this year. Their earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.26, placing them 19th in the league, while the pitching unit has struck out 706 batters and walked 310. The FIP for the team is 4.23.
This season, the Padres have employed 292 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 151 runners, with 31.1% of them scoring. The relief crew has accumulated 52 holds (ranking 9th in the league), stepping into games with players on base 88 times and appearing in high-leverage situations 98 times. They have compiled 25 saves but have also blown 9 out of 34 save opportunities. The Padres’ relief pitchers have a save rate of 73.5% while entering 88 save scenarios.
In terms of defense, the San Diego Padres have made 2,282 putouts, 756 assists, and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .991, positioning them 2nd in the MLB, with 75 double plays completed. They have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs across 6,846 innings, ranking 18th in MLB.
Canning has logged 631 innings in his career, amassing 599 strikeouts. His career earned run average is 4.83, having allowed 339 earned runs, and he has a WHIP of 1.363. He has given up 614 hits (approximately 8.8 hits per nine innings) and has walked 246 hitters. Canning, with a win-loss record of 33-42, has faced 2,713 opposing batters in major league games, recording a FIP of 4.76.
The Dodgers lead the league with a team SLG% of .445 and are scoring an average of 5.39 runs per game (1st place). They have achieved 152 doubles while taking walks 361 times, scoring a total of 474 runs. Los Angeles has hit 120 home runs this season, along with 446 RBIs. They have struck out 693 times (24th in MLB) and accumulated 794 hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers boast an OBP of .349 and a batting average of .267.
The Dodgers’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.129 and a FIP of 3.83 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.00, with 773 strikeouts against 255 walks. They are 2nd in the league for total hits allowed, giving up 620. The Dodgers have permitted 95 home runs and allow 3.62 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). Los Angeles has conceded a total of 312 runs this season, achieving an ERA of 3.52.
Ranked 7th in MLB with a 73.3% save rate, the Dodgers have dispatched 278 relievers this year. Their relief pitchers have appeared in high-leverage situations 76 times and 53 times with runners on base. Having dealt with 85 save situations, they’ve secured 54 holds, with 8 blown saves. Los Angeles has converted 22 saves out of 30 save opportunities, with a 34.9% inherited score percentage from 86 inherited base runners.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have executed 51 double plays, maintaining a top defensive fielding percentage of .992 (1st in MLB). They’ve recorded 747 assists, 26 errors, and 2,326 putouts in this season. With a defensive efficiency rating of 73.1%, they lead the league over 6,978 innings played.
Yamamoto has given up 259 hits throughout his career, earning 396 strikeouts in 360 frames. He has allowed 107 earned runs while boasting a WHIP of 0.996 and a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.96, having faced 1,425 batters. Yamamoto holds a career record of 27-15 with a commendable 2.67 ERA and has allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Los Angeles (-160)
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