- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
- Scheduled On: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: San Diego (-196) Miami (+162)
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The San Diego Padres (50-52) are set to clash with the Miami Marlins (52-51) at LoanDepot Park this Friday. With a moneyline of -196 for the Padres and +162 for the Marlins, the over/under stands at 9 runs. German Marquez and Ryan Gusto are the starting pitchers for this contest.
So far this season, the Padres are batting .383 with 845 strikeouts and 349 walks. They have recorded 410 RBIs and 770 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .230. The Padres’ offense has generated 152 doubles and hit 114 home runs, accumulating a total of 421 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .307. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, they rank 25th in the league.
With a K/BB ratio of 2.26, the Padres’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.34. They’ve allowed 112 home runs and a total of 450 runs (ranked 13th in MLB). The team has permitted 843 hits, averaging 8.4 per nine innings, alongside 424 earned runs. San Diego’s ERA stands at 4.24 this season (17th in MLB), featuring 829 strikeouts. They’ve walked 367 batters, with a FIP of 4.24 for the year.
This season, the Padres have called upon 345 relievers, with 173 inherited runners, of which 32.9% have scored. The bullpen recorded 60 holds (10th in MLB) and has entered high-leverage situations 116 times this year, achieving 29 saves while blowing 13 out of 42 save chances. With a save percentage of 69.0%, they’ve entered 104 save situations.
Defensively, the Padres have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 8,100 innings. They’ve executed 2,700 putouts, 888 assists, and committed 39 errors for an impressive fielding percentage of .989, ranking 3rd in baseball, with 88 double plays completed.
German Marquez has pitched 1,190 innings, striking out 1,099 batters during his career. With a 72-74 career record, his FIP stands at 4.63, having faced 5,106 batters in the majors. Marquez holds an ERA of 4.70 (621 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.343, allowing 1,222 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and 376 walks.
The Miami Marlins have hit 104 home runs this season and amassed 440 RBIs. They’ve recorded 173 doubles and drawn 346 walks while scoring 457 runs. Miami holds a collective OBP of .326 and a batting average of .251, with a slugging percentage of .406, averaging 4.44 runs per game (16th in MLB). They’ve struck out 843 times (19th in MLB) with a total of 861 hits.
On the mound, the Miami pitching staff has given up 446 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.05 (407 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 105 home runs, allowing 4.44 runs per nine innings, and have a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.05 for the season. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.60 (868 strikeouts vs 351 walks), they rank 5th in the league in total hits allowed with 779.
The Miami bullpen has a scoring percentage of 20.3%, having inherited 128 runners. They’ve appeared in 98 high-leverage situations, with 88 occasions involving runners on base. With 96 save situations, the Marlins have achieved 58 holds and experienced 13 blown saves, sitting at 15th place with a save rate of 63.9%. The bullpen has used 328 pitchers this season.
Over 8,136 innings in the field, the Marlins’ defensive efficiency is 70.7% (9th in MLB). Miami has turned 75 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in the majors), and recorded 844 assists, 66 errors, and 2,712 putouts throughout the season.
In his career, Gusto has allowed 146 hits with 124 strikeouts over 131 innings pitched. He’s given up 80 earned runs while acquiring a WHIP of 1.461 and a FIP of 5.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.70, facing 591 batters in his career. Gusto’s career record is 7-9, with a 5.48 ERA and allows 10.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+162)
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