- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: San Diego (+178) Milwaukee (-218)
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The Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) are set to face the San Diego Padres (91-71) at American Family Field on Saturday for Game 1 of the NLDS. The opening line has San Diego at +178, while Milwaukee stands at -218. The total runs for this matchup are projected at 7. Starting pitchers for this contest are Robbie Ray and Jacob Misiorowski.
This season, the San Diego Padres have averaged 4.5 runs per game, placing them 16th in Major League Baseball. They have tallied a total of 722 runs and hold an on-base percentage (OBP) of .319. The Padres have hit 234 doubles and 183 home runs, racking up 696 RBIs with 1,314 total hits, and maintain a batting average of .244. Their slugging percentage is .398, with a total of 1,310 strikeouts and 554 walks recorded throughout the season.
The Padres showcase a K/BB ratio of 2.37 while their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.29. So far, Padres pitchers have surrendered 180 home runs and 681 runs, ranking 9th in the league. They have allowed 1,304 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 636 earned runs, maintaining a team ERA of 3.99 (10th in MLB) and striking out 1,315 batters. Their team FIP stands at 4.20 this season.
The Padres’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 70.6% across 179 save opportunities, accumulating 48 saves while failing on 20 attempts. The bullpen has inherited 248 base runners this year, with 31.0% of those scoring. They have entered the game under high-pressure situations 185 times, with a total of 550 relief pitchers used this season. The bullpen has also accumulated 106 holds for the year (5th in MLB).
Currently, the San Diego Padres have recorded 4,309 putouts, along with 1,431 assists and 64 errors to date. Their impressive fielding percentage of .989 ranks them 2nd in the league, alongside 131 double plays. They have converted 70.6% of balls put into play into outs during their 12,927 innings, landing them 11th in professional baseball.
Robbie Ray has pitched for 1,484 innings, collecting 1,767 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. Ray, who holds a career record of 91-83, has a FIP of 3.91 against 6,287 batters. His career ERA stands at 3.97 (655 ERs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.296. He has conceded 1,289 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 635 walks.
The Brewers currently possess a slugging percentage of .403, scoring an average of 5.14 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have achieved 279 doubles, drawn 668 walks, and registered 832 runs this season. Milwaukee has also hit 154 home runs and driven in 788 runs, experiencing 1,383 strikeouts (11th in baseball) alongside 1,422 hits. The Brewers have a team OBP of .341 and a batting average of .258 for the current season.
As a team, the Brewers hold a WHIP of 1.178, with a staff FIP of 3.72 for the year. They have a spectacular strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts to 518 walks) and rank 2nd in the league for total hits allowed with 1,186. The Brewers have given up 171 home runs and allow 3.85 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB), culminating in 618 runs allowed this season and a team ERA of 3.52 (565 earned runs).
Currently ranking 5th in the league, the Brewers boast a save percentage of 72.4% and have sent 509 relievers to the mound this year. Relief pitchers have appeared 158 times in high-pressure situations alongside 129 battery chances. They’ve recorded 86 holds and 21 blown saves, having entered 76 save chances with 55 successful saves. Milwaukee’s bullpen has a 37.4% inherited score percentage from 187 inherited runners.
With a total of 118 double plays, the Milwaukee Brewers have achieved a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in MLB). They have accumulated 1,269 assists, recorded 72 errors, and registered 4,340 putouts this season. Throughout 13,020 innings, they have achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in professional baseball).
Jacob Misiorowski has allowed 147 hits while striking out 339 batters over 240 innings pitched in his career, holding a 21-8 record. He maintains a remarkable 2.51 ERA, allowing 5.5 hits per 9 innings and allowing a total of 67 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 0.924 with a FIP of 2.5, and he possesses a K/BB ratio of 4.52, having faced 938 batters throughout his career.
Which team will come out on top in this vital MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Pick: Bet on Milwaukee (-218) and under 7 total runs
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