- Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets
- Event Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: San Francisco (+106) New York (-128)
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The New York Mets (63-77) will face off against the San Francisco Giants (58-82) this Friday at Citi Field. The moneyline for this game has the Giants priced at +106, while the Mets are favored at -128. The over/under for total runs is set at 8.5. Scheduled starting pitchers are Matt Wilkinson and Nolan McLean.
This season, the San Francisco Giants are averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them 23rd in the league. They have scored a total of 584 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .309. As a team, the Giants have successfully hit 232 doubles and 157 home runs, accumulating 563 RBIs and 1,179 hits, with a collective batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage stands at .407, with 1,116 strikeouts and 384 walks this season.
The Giants’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.05. This season, they have allowed 130 home runs and 654 total runs, ranking 21st in MLB. They have given up 1,166 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 601 earned runs, with a team ERA of 4.38 (23rd in MLB) and 1,057 strikeouts. Their FIP for the season is 4.15 after walking 516 opposing hitters.
This year, relievers for the Giants entered games with runners on base 159 times and have appeared in 119 high-leverage scenarios. They have achieved 75 holds, ranking 17th in the league. The Giants’ bullpen has converted 54.2% of save opportunities, with 123 situations and 26 saves, but have also blown 22 saves out of 48. They have inherited 245 runners, allowing 36.3% to score. A total of 446 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season.
Defensively, the Giants have converted 69.3% of batted balls into outs over 11,115 defensive innings, placing them 22nd in MLB. They’ve recorded 3,705 putouts, 1,310 assists, and have committed 90 errors, with a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB) and 128 double plays.
Wilkinson is set to pitch, having yet to log any innings in his career, boasting a 0.00 ERA with zero earned runs allowed. His WHIP stands at 0.000, having not given up any hits or walks, also with a career record of 0-0.
The New York Mets have hit a total of 168 home runs, driving in 549 runs. They’ve recorded 179 doubles, drawn 443 walks, and scored 577 runs this season. The team maintains an on-base percentage of .306 and a batting average of .236, with a slugging percentage of .389, averaging 4.12 runs per game (25th in MLB). They have 1,191 strikeouts (11th in MLB) and a total of 1,111 hits.
Mets’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.05. Their K/BB ratio is strong at 9.00 (1,245 strikeouts to 494 walks). They rank 14th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,127 and have given up 153 home runs, allowing 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). They have a team ERA of 4.09 after relinquishing 627 runs this season.
New York ranks 19th in save success rate at 60.5%, having utilized 433 relief pitchers this year. Their relievers have entered high-stress situations 147 times and faced runners on base 130 times. They have accomplished 62 holds and experienced 17 blown saves from 109 save situations, notching 26 saves out of 43 chances. Their relievers have allowed 27.5% of inherited runners to score this year out of 182 inherited base runners.
Defensively, the Mets have a conversion rate of 69.6% over 11,220 innings, placing them 17th in MLB. They have achieved 84 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB), recording 1,104 assists, 86 errors, and 3,740 putouts this season.
In his career, McLean has allowed 148 hits in 203 innings while earning 229 strikeouts. He holds a 15-9 record with a 2.83 ERA and allows 6.6 hits per 9 innings. With a WHIP of 1.107 and a FIP of 2.8, his K/BB ratio is 2.97 after facing 832 batters in his professional career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB face-off, against the spread or on the moneyline?
Recommendation: Choose New York (-128)
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