Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley Insights, 05/09/2026 Expectations UFC Vegas 117 Odds

• Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley
• UFC Vegas 117
• Meta APEX in Las Vegas
• Saturday, May 9, 2026

This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.

This Saturday, May 9, 2026, Sean Brady will take on Joaquin Buckley at UFC Vegas 117. Current betting odds favor Brady at -150 compared to Buckley’s +130.

Sean Brady steps into the Octagon with a record of 18 wins and 2 losses, weighing 170 lbs and standing at 5’10”. As an orthodox fighter, he boasts a reach of 72 inches. Meanwhile, Joaquin “New Mansa” Buckley, also measuring in at 5’10” and 170 lbs, aims to improve his record of 21 wins and 7 losses. The 32-year-old southpaw possesses a reach of 76 inches. In terms of significant strikes, Brady connects at a rate of 3.96 per minute, while Buckley’s rate is 3.88. Brady has a striking accuracy of 55%, whereas Buckley’s accuracy is at 36%. On the defensive side, Brady absorbs 3.05 significant strikes each minute while Buckley takes 2.93. Both fighters manage to defend against 59% of significant strikes thrown at them.

When it comes to grappling, Sean Brady showcases superior skills, averaging 3.53 takedowns per 15 minutes with a success rate of 53%. He also excels at defending against takedowns, stopping 86% of attempts. In contrast, Buckley manages a 45% success rate on his takedown attempts, thwarting 72% of the attempts made against him. Brady averages 0.9 submission attempts per 15 minutes compared to Buckley’s 0.1.

In his previous fight, Sean Brady faced Michael Morales, unfortunately being defeated by knockout in the first round. Morales landed 24 out of 52 total strikes, marking an accuracy of 46%. Brady managed to land 8 out of 22 strikes, showing an accuracy of 36%. Notably, 87% of Morales’s strikes and all of Brady’s strikes were thrown from a distance.

Joaquin Buckley’s most recent Octagon encounter was against Kamaru Usman, resulting in a unanimous decision loss in round five. Usman managed to land 53% of his significant strikes while Buckley connected on 29% of his attempts, totaling 44 out of 148. Buckley hit 29 out of 130 significant strikes aimed at the head, while Usman connected with 41 out of 99 significant strikes during their bout. Total strikes saw Usman landing 137 out of 243 and Buckley clocking in at 51 out of 156.

Key Fights to Watch

Another matchup to look forward to features King Green going up against Jeremy Stephens. Green, aiming to enhance his record of 34-17-1 (1 NC), is 39 years old, weighs 155 lbs, and stands 5’10” with a reach of 71 inches. Stephens, also 39, is slightly shorter at 5’9″, weighing the same, and hopes to improve his record of 29-22-0 (1 NC). In grappling exchanges, King Green secures a takedown 1.31 times per 15 minutes, while Jeremy Stephens averages 1.11 takedowns. In striking, Green lands 6.38 strikes per minute with a 53% accuracy, while Stephens strikes at 3.15 times per minute with a 40% connection rate.

Another notable fight features Ozzy Diaz battling Ateba Gautier. Gautier, with a record of 10-1-0, is 24 years old, weighing 185 lbs and 6’4″ tall, with an impressive reach of 81 inches. Diaz, the 35-year-old orthodox fighter, also stands 6’4″ and weighs in at 185 lbs with a wingspan of 79 inches. In grappling stats, Gautier stops 92% of takedown attempts against him while successfully executing 75% of his takedown attempts. Conversely, Diaz’s takedown success rate is only 15%, and he defends against 50% of the takedowns he faces. In striking metrics, Gautier absorbs 2.93 strikes per minute while landing 4.44, whereas Diaz takes 7.23 strikes per minute and lands 6.44.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC fight?

Pick: Choose Joaquin Buckley (+130)