- Game: Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-130), Pittsburgh (+110)
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The Seattle Mariners (41-39) are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-40) at PNC Park this Thursday. With the Mariners favored at -130 and the Pirates at +110, the total runs are anticipated to reach 8.5. Pitchers for this matchup will be Bryce Miller and Bubba Chandler.
Seattle boasts a slugging percentage of .388 with 678 strikeouts and 268 walks this season. They’ve accumulated 320 RBIs and 614 hits, reflecting a batting average of .232. The Mariners have also marked 99 doubles and 100 home runs, scoring 329 runs total with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .312. They average 4.1 runs per game, placing them 23rd in the league.
The Mariners are performing well on the mound, boasting a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.59, ranking 5th in the league. Their pitching staff has struck out 702 batters while allowing 77 home runs and conceding a total of 311 runs (6th in MLB). They have walked 205 hitters, with a collective FIP of 3.57 for the season. Seattle pitchers have allowed 635 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and have a WHIP of 1.18.
The Mariners’ bullpen holds a save percentage of 60.6%, having faced 80 save situations this year. They recorded 20 saves but also blew 13 of their 33 chances. With 82 inherited runners, 23.2% scored. Mariners relievers have participated in 60 high-leverage situations. Overall, 241 relief pitchers have taken the mound, leading to 46 holds this season (ranked 11th in the league).
Out of 6,408 innings, the Mariners have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs, placing them 21st in professional baseball. They tallied 2,136 putouts, 645 assists, and 39 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks 17th in the majors. They have successfully executed 74 double plays.
Bryce Miller, with a career record of 27-22, has a FIP of 3.73 and has faced 1,774 batters. He has allowed 371 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 110 walks, holding an ERA of 3.79 with a WHIP of 1.088. With a total of 442 innings pitched, he has recorded 407 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Pirates have amassed 94 home runs and 375 RBIs this season. They have logged 121 doubles, 296 walks, and scored 393 runs. Pittsburgh’s team OBP is .334, and they maintain a batting average of .255. They have a slugging percentage of .408 and average 4.97 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. With 730 strikeouts, they sit 4th in MLB while totaling 697 hits.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff averages a WHIP of 1.304 and carries a FIP of 3.92. They achieve a 9.20 K/BB ratio, totaling 720 strikeouts against 289 walks. Their total hits allowed rank 15th in MLB at 633, and they have surrendered 77 homers, allowing 4.84 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Pirates’ pitching team has given up 380 runs seasonally, with a team ERA of 4.16 (327 earned runs allowed).
With 68 save situations, the Pirates achieved 35 holds and have blown 16 saves. They have faced 32 save opportunities with relief pitchers, successfully converting 16. The inherited runner percentage for Pittsburgh’s bullpen stands at 31.4% across 102 inherited runners. Their pitchers have appeared 70 times in high-stress situations and 74 times with runners on base. They are ranked 27th in save percentage at 50.0%, having used a total of 252 bullpen pitchers this year.
Across 6,369 innings, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in MLB), with 59 double plays and a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in professional baseball). They have accrued 637 assists, committed 51 errors, and made 2,123 putouts this season.
Bubba Chandler carries a career record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.45, allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.13, facing 451 hitters throughout his professional career. He has conceded 52 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 4.4. In total, Chandler has allowed 84 hits and has struck out 100 batters over 105 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Opt for Pittsburgh (+110)
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