Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino Preview: 08/22/2026 UFC Sacramento Odds and Predictions

Home » Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino Preview: 08/22/2026 UFC Sacramento Odds and Predictions

  • Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino
  • UFC Sacramento Showdown
  • Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
  • Date: August 22, 2026

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Serghei Spivac will face off against Vitor Petrino at UFC Sacramento on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Betting odds show Spivac at +129 and Petrino at -149.

Serghei “Polar Bear” Spivac enters with a professional record of 18 wins and 6 losses. The 31-year-old competes at 260 lbs and stands 6’3″ tall, boasting a reach of 78 inches. Meanwhile, Vitor Petrino is 6’2″ and weighs 225 lbs. With a record of 14 wins and 2 losses, the 28-year-old also fights in an orthodox stance and has a reach of 77 inches. In terms of striking metrics, Spivac lands an average of 3.57 significant strikes per minute, while Petrino averages 3.24. Spivac has a striking accuracy of 47% compared to Petrino’s 48%. When it comes to absorbing strikes, Spivac takes 4.23 significant strikes per minute, whereas Petrino absorbs 2.71. Defensively, Spivac successfully defends against 52% of significant strikes, while Petrino defends 51%.

UFC Predictions and Betting Odds for Serghei Spivac
UFC Sacramento Matchup Serghei Spivac Vitor Petrino
Opening Odds +129 -149
Record 18-6-0 14-2-0
Average Fight Time 8:22 10:23
Height 6’3″ 6’2″
Weight 260 lbs 225 lbs
Reach 78″ 77″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.57 3.24
Striking Accuracy 47% 48%

In grappling stats, Serghei Spivac demonstrates superior wrestling skills, achieving 3.82 takedowns every three rounds with a success rate of 59%. He also defends against 63% of takedown attempts from opponents. Vitor Petrino, on the other hand, completes 46% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends 79% of incoming takedowns. When it comes to submissions, Spivac averages 0.5 submissions per three rounds, while Petrino looks for submissions 0.7 times every 15 minutes.

In his previous match, Serghei Spivac faced Ante Delija and won via unanimous decision in the third round. Delija managed to land 61 out of 173 total strikes, whereas Spivac hit 102 out of 185. In significant strikes, Delija connected 61 out of 172, yielding a percentage of 35%, with 56 of those directed at the head. In contrast, Spivac landed 44% of his significant strikes, with 67 out of 149. His accuracy improved to 65 out of 145 strikes targeted at the head, with a notable 95% of Delija’s significant strikes and all of Spivac’s occurring at a distance.

In Vitor Petrino’s last Octagon fight, he faced Steven Asplund and secured a unanimous decision win in round 3. Asplund landed 95% of his significant strikes at distance, while Petrino connected with 100% of his own. Petrino achieved a striking success rate of 57%, hitting 92 of 161 strikes, with 59 of those aimed at the head. Asplund finished with 61 out of 158 significant strikes. In terms of accuracy, Petrino landed 48 out of 140 strikes directed at the head, finishing the match with a total of 92 out of 162 strikes thrown.

Additional Fights of Interest

One intriguing matchup to watch features Reinier de Ridder against Roman Dolidze. De Ridder seeks to improve his record to 21-4-0. The 35-year-old competes at 185 lbs and stands 6’4″ with a reach of 78″. Dolidze, who stands 6’2″ and weighs 185 lbs, aims to raise his career record to 15-5-0. He possesses a reach of 76″. In grappling stats, de Ridder achieves an average of 2.56 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Dolidze averages 1.16 takedowns. In striking, de Ridder lands 2.47 strikes per minute, connecting on 48% of his attempts, whereas Dolidze lands an average of 3.19 per minute with a success rate of 41%.

Another fight to keep an eye on is Mason Jones against MarQuel Mederos. Mederos, with a record of 11-1-1, weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5’10”. The orthodox fighter boasts a reach of 69″. Meanwhile, Jones, who is also 5’10” and weighs 155 lbs, looks to add to his record of 18-2-0 (1 NC) with a reach of 74″. Mederos successfully defends 82% of the takedown attempts against him, taking opponents down only 8% of the time. Conversely, Jones secures takedowns on 55% of his attempts and stops 73% of takedown attempts. In striking metrics, Mederos absorbs 4.58 strikes per minute while landing 5.46, while Jones averages 4.45 absorbed strikes and 5.98 landed.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s UFC match?

Prediction: Back Vitor Petrino (-149)

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Pick: Vitor Petrino (-149)
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