- Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals (+126), Toronto Blue Jays (-152)
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The St. Louis Cardinals (54-55) are set to visit the Rogers Centre on Saturday, eager to secure a victory against the Toronto Blue Jays (50-59). The current moneyline has St. Louis at +126, while Toronto stands at -152. The over/under for this contest is set at 9 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers for the game are Matthew Liberatore and Kevin Gausman.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .378 and have recorded 838 strikeouts while earning walks on 349 occasions. This season, they have accumulated 464 RBIs and 872 hits, maintaining a batting average of .239. As a team, the Cardinals have hit 147 doubles and launched 113 home runs, scoring a total of 476 runs, which places them at an average of 4.4 runs per game—ranking 17th in Major League Baseball.
The Cardinals’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.28, supported by a team WHIP of 1.35. The pitching staff has allowed 107 home runs and surrendered a total of 490 runs (16th in MLB). St. Louis pitchers have given up 944 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings) and 451 earned runs, resulting in an earned run average (ERA) of 4.16 (15th in MLB), while recording 838 strikeouts. The team has walked 368 batters, leading to a FIP of 4.10 this season.
Throughout the year, the Cardinals have utilized 368 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 171 base runners, with 36.3% scoring. With 69 holds (6th in the league), they have entered games with runners on base 119 times and made 135 high-leverage appearances. This season, they have achieved 31 saves while failing to convert 19 out of 50 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 62.0% across 122 save situations.
Defensively, the Cardinals have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,778 innings on the field, ranking 23rd in MLB. They have registered a total of 2,926 putouts, 1,023 assists, and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage of .988 ranks 6th in baseball, complemented by 100 double plays.
Matthew Liberatore, with a career record of 21-32, has a FIP of 4.71 and has faced 1,898 batters in the major leagues. He has permitted 467 hits (averaging 9.6 hits per nine innings) and has walked 151 batters. His career ERA stands at 4.79 (232 earned runs allowed), alongside a WHIP of 1.417. Liberatore has pitched 436 innings, accumulating a total of 372 strikeouts.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .380 and average 3.94 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have tallied 170 doubles, earned 295 walks, and scored 430 runs. The Blue Jays have hit 107 home runs this season and recorded 412 RBIs. They have also struck out 787 times (29th in MLB) and have tallied a total of 889 hits. The team has an on-base percentage (OBP) of .304 and a batting average of .243 this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.313 and a FIP of 3.98 so far this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (967 strikeouts against 387 walks), placing them at 13th in MLB for total hits allowed (878). They have surrendered 118 home runs and allow an average of 4.58 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). Overall, the Toronto pitching staff has allowed 490 runs this year, with an ERA of 4.15 (444 earned runs conceded).
Ranked 5th in MLB for save percentage at 71.7%, the Blue Jays have used 398 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has made 123 appearances in high-leverage situations and 117 times with runners on base. The Blue Jays have been in 119 save situations and have recorded 70 holds, alongside 13 blown saves. They have successfully converted 33 saves out of 46 save opportunities, with a score inherited percentage of 28.7% for 174 inherited base runners.
In their 8,673 innings played, the Blue Jays boast a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (24th in MLB). They have executed 75 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 28th in the majors. The team has accumulated 919 assists, committed 72 errors, and made 2,891 putouts this season.
Kevin Gausman, throughout his career, has allowed 1,954 hits while accumulating 2,077 strikeouts over 2,032 innings. He has conceded 871 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.242 and a FIP of 3.8. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.64, Gausman (116-123 career record) owns a 3.86 ERA, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: St. Louis (+126)
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