- Matchup: Sunderland vs Brighton
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland, England
- Broadcast: Peacock, USA Network
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Sunderland (1-1-3) will take on Brighton (3-1-1) at the Stadium of Light this Saturday. Sunderland is listed at +125, while Brighton sits at -145. The over/under for the match has been established at 3 goals. Expected goalkeepers are Robin Roefs for Sunderland and Bart Verbruggen for Brighton.
The Black Cats are currently ranked 19th in expected goals with a total of 18.1, while their expected goals against stands at 18.7. This season, Sunderland averages 0.80 points per match (4 points), placing them 14th in European soccer with 4 assists. They have conceded 10 goals so far, equating to 2.00 goals per 90 minutes, and their opponents have recorded 16 shots on target against them. Sunderland’s goal differential sits at -4, with 6 goals scored and 10 conceded. They have secured 1 clean sheet, translating to a 20.0% success rate so far. Sunderland has made 6 saves, boasting a save percentage of 37.5%. The team has accumulated 12 yellow cards and 1 red card this season.
Brighton has scored 16 goals, with their expected goals tallying up to 20.1. They have conceded only 1.00 goal per 90 minutes, making 12 saves and recording 3 clean sheets. Brighton & Hove Albion’s shutout rate is an impressive 60.0%, alongside 12 yellow card warnings. The Seagulls average 2.0 points per game and have made 10 assists. With a save rate of 70.6% (having faced 17 shots on target), Brighton ranks 3rd in the Big 5 soccer leagues with 10 points. They stand 7th in terms of goals conceded, with just 5 against, resulting in a positive goal difference of 11.
In goal for Sunderland will be Robin Roefs. With a career total of 7,110 minutes and 246 saves, Roefs has a career record of 27 wins, 23 losses, and 28 draws, including 23 shutouts for a shutout percentage of 29.1%. The Dutch goalkeeper has faced 350 shots in 78 appearances, allowing an average of 1.32 goals per 90 minutes (104 total goals) and holding a save percentage of 70.3%.
Bart Verbruggen will guard Brighton’s net. Over his career, Verbruggen has allowed 170 goals and has achieved 362 saves across 146 appearances. He has a goals against average of 1.15 per 90 minutes, with a career record of 62 wins, 44 losses, and 40 draws. Verbruggen’s save percentage stands at 69.3%, complemented by a shutout rate of 28.5%. He has tallied 42 shutouts throughout his 13,260 minutes on the pitch and has faced 522 shots.
One key player for Sunderland to watch is Brian Brobbey. He has started in 144 professional matches and averages 0.57 goals per 90 minutes. The Dutch forward has netted 79 goals in 12,376 minutes, also providing 29 assists and accumulating 187 career points.
Brighton’s threat comes in the form of Pascal Gross, a player that opponents will need to strategize against. With 213 career points from 57 goals and 99 assists, the German midfielder has played 42,243 minutes and has been a starter in 483 matches, averaging 0.12 goals per 90 minutes.
Who will come out on top in this matchup against the spread?
Recommendation: Back Sunderland (-145)
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