- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+106) Cleveland (-128)
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On Monday, the Cleveland Guardians (15-13) host the Tampa Bay Rays (15-11) at Progressive Field. The current odds place the Rays at +106 and the Guardians at -128, with an over/under set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for this clash will be Steven Matz and Parker Messick.
The Tampa Bay Rays are currently scoring 4.9 runs per game, ranking 8th in the MLB with a total of 128 runs and an on-base percentage of .333. The team has hit 36 doubles and launched 25 home runs so far this season. They have amassed 122 RBIs and recorded 229 hits, maintaining a batting average of .256. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .392 and have struck out 187 times, drawing 91 walks along the way.
This 2026 season, the Rays have recorded an earned run average of 4.46, placing them 22nd in the league, with 213 strikeouts by the pitching staff. Across the board, Rays pitchers have allowed 35 home runs and a total of 131 runs (also 22nd in the league). Their pitchers have issued 94 walks, with a team FIP of 4.57 this year. Tampa Bay has given up 202 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 116 earned runs, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.27 and a collective WHIP of 1.26.
Thus far in the season, 84 relief pitchers have been called upon by the Rays. These relievers have inherited 32 base runners, with 40.6% scoring. The bullpen has accumulated 17 holds (14th in the league) and made 30 appearances in high-leverage situations, recording 9 saves with 4 blown saves out of 13 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 69.2%.
Tampa Bay has converted 72.1% of balls put in play into outs, ranking them 4th in the majors. The Rays have achieved 703 putouts, recorded 196 assists, and committed 23 errors, with a fielding percentage of .975 (ranked 30th in MLB). They have achieved 11 double plays on the season.
Steven Matz boasts 1,028 career innings with 965 strikeouts. His career earned run average stands at 4.21 (with 481 earned runs allowed), and his WHIP is 1.307. He has surrendered 1,043 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 301 walks. With a balanced win-loss record of 63-63, Matz’s FIP is 4.15, having faced 4,385 batters throughout his MLB journey.
The Guardians this season have a slugging percentage of .384, averaging 4.14 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have tallied 48 doubles and drawn 109 walks, alongside scoring 116 runs. Cleveland has hit 30 home runs with 111 RBIs, striking out 218 times (20th in the league) and amassing 211 hits, with a team OBP of .318 and a batting average of .231.
Cleveland’s pitching staff currently holds a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 4.23. They rank 15th in total hits allowed with 215 and have given up 122 runs this season, resulting in an ERA of 4.13 (113 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 9.50 (259 strikeouts to 99 walks). They have allowed 35 home runs, conceding 4.46 runs per 9 innings, which places them 13th in baseball.
Guardians’ relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 41.5%, having faced 41 inherited base runners. Their bullpen has seen 32 outings in high-leverage situations and has participated 24 times with runners on base. Out of 29 save chances, they have achieved 18 holds and experienced 3 blown saves, ranking 4th in the league with a save percentage of 72.7%. On the season, the Guardians have utilized 90 relief pitchers.
With a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in MLB), the Guardians have accrued 23 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .989 (8th in professional baseball). They have also notched 212 assists, committed 11 errors, and completed 739 putouts this year.
Parker Messick has allowed 65 hits in 69 innings, with 67 strikeouts to his name. Holding a 6-1 career record, Messick has a commendable earned run average of 2.33 and has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 18 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 2.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at an impressive 4.79 after facing 278 batters in his career.
Which team will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Pick: Opt for Tampa Bay (+106)
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