- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+134) Milwaukee (-162)
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The Tampa Bay Rays, boasting a record of 98-64, will make their way to American Family Field on Friday to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) in Game 1 of the World Series. The moneyline for this matchup places Tampa Bay at +134, while Milwaukee stands at -162. The total runs over/under is set at 6. Expected to take the mound are Drew Rasmussen for the Rays and Jacob Misiorowski for the Brewers.
The Tampa Bay Rays currently own a slugging percentage of .402 and have recorded 1,145 strikeouts this season, complemented by 514 walks. With a total of 700 RBIs and 1,405 hits, their batting average stands at .258. The team has achieved 230 doubles and hit 169 home runs, scoring a total of 736 runs. Collectively, the Rays average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 12th in Major League Baseball.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.70, placing them 7th in the league, with 1,322 strikeouts to their credit. The Rays have allowed 201 home runs and have a total of 650 runs against them (6th overall). They have issued 409 walks, while their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.04 this season. The team’s opponents have tallied 1,235 hits against them, resulting in 594 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an outstanding 3.23, with a collective WHIP of 1.14.
This season, the Rays have utilized 522 relief pitchers, with the bullpen inheriting 192 baserunners, and 32.3% converting to runs. With 115 holds (ranked 2nd in the league), Tampa Bay’s bullpen has faced high-pressure situations 163 times and has secured 58 saves out of 78 opportunities, realizing a save percentage of 74.4% across 194 chances.
Defensively, the Rays have successfully converted 72.3% of balls in play into outs across 12,987 innings, leading the league. They have tallied 4,329 putouts, 1,279 assists, and committed 92 errors, resulting in a .984 fielding percentage, which ranks 21st in professional baseball. Additionally, they have recorded 100 double plays.
Drew Rasmussen has pitched 632 innings with a career strikeout count of 602. Holding a win-loss record of 46-22, he owns a FIP of 2.79, having faced 2,509 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.83, allowing 199 earned runs throughout his career, with a WHIP of 1.025 and an average of 7.1 hits allowed per nine innings alongside 151 walks.
The Milwaukee Brewers feature a team slugging percentage of .403, averaging 5.14 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have recorded 279 doubles, taken 668 walks, and scored 832 runs, including 154 home runs and a total of 788 RBIs. With 1,383 strikeouts (11th in baseball), they’ve also notched a total of 1,422 hits this season. Milwaukee’s team OBP stands at .341, maintaining a batting average of .258.
This season, the Brewers’ pitching staff has given up 618 runs, with an ERA of 3.52 (65 earned runs). The staff allowed 171 home runs, averaging 3.85 runs per nine innings, ranking them 4th in the league. Currently, Milwaukee holds a WHIP of 1.178, with a FIP of 3.72, while achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts against 518 walks). They also rank 2nd in total hits allowed with 1,186.
The Brewers’ bullpen, sending out 509 relief pitchers this season, has recorded a save rate of 72.4% (5th in MLB). They have faced high-leverage situations 158 times, with 129 incidences of inherited runners. In 164 save situations, they’ve recorded 86 holds with 21 blown saves. So far, their relievers have converted 55 saves from 76 chances, inheriting runs at a rate of 37.4% from 187 opportunities.
Defensively, the Brewers have turned 118 double plays and hold a .987 fielding percentage (7th in MLB). They have accumulated 1,269 assists, made 72 errors, and achieved 4,340 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.2%, ranking 6th in the majors over 13,020 innings.
Jacob Misiorowski, with a career record of 21-8, maintains a stellar 2.51 ERA while allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings pitched. His K/BB ratio is 4.52, having faced 938 batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 67 earned runs with a WHIP of 0.924 and a FIP of 2.5. To date, he has given up 147 hits while compiling 339 strikeouts over 240 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (+134)
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