- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Odds/Line: Tampa Bay (+132) Philadelphia (-160)
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On Sunday, the Tampa Bay Rays (96-63) will venture to Citizens Bank Park to challenge the Philadelphia Phillies (87-72). Current betting odds favor the Rays at +132, while the Phillies sit at -160. The over/under for the game is established at 9 runs. Expected to take the mound are Nick Martinez for the Rays and Zack Wheeler for the Phillies.
The Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them 11th in Major League Baseball (MLB). This season, they have accumulated a total of 719 runs, maintaining an on-base percentage (OBP) of .326. The team has hit 221 doubles and launched 165 home runs. With 683 runs batted in and 1,374 hits, their batting average stands at .258. Tampa Bay’s slugging percentage is .400, having struck out 1,116 times while drawing 507 walks.
The Rays boast a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.28 and exhibit a collective WHIP of 1.14. Their pitchers have allowed a total of 199 home runs and 642 runs this season (ranking 7th in the league). Tampa Bay has given up 1,212 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per nine innings, and has a team ERA of 3.73 (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has recorded 1,303 strikeouts while walking 397 hitters, with a FIP of 4.03 for the season.
The Rays’ bullpen has entered games with runners on base 132 times and has made 159 appearances in high-leverage situations. This season, they have achieved 112 holds (2nd in MLB) and a save rate of 74.0%, converting 57 of 77 save opportunities while blowing 20. They’ve inherited 188 base runners, with 33.0% scoring. In total, Tampa Bay has used 508 relievers this season.
Defensively, the Rays have converted 72.3% of balls in play into outs, ranking first in professional baseball. Tampa Bay has recorded 4,251 putouts, 1,254 assists, and 91 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB) with 97 double plays.
Nick Martinez has pitched for 1,117 innings, striking out 778 batters during his career. His earned run average (ERA) is 3.96, allowing 492 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.265. He has given up 1,099 hits, averaging 8.9 hits per nine innings, with a career record of 63 wins and 64 losses. Martinez has a FIP of 3.90 against 4,693 opposing hitters in the majors.
The Philadelphia Phillies own a team slugging percentage of .395, scoring 4.43 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have hit 238 doubles, drawn 517 walks, and scored 705 runs, totaling 180 home runs and 684 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,299 times (20th in MLB) and achieved 1,278 hits this season. The Phillies stand with an OBP of .312 and a batting average of .240.
With a team WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.78, Philadelphia ranks 21st in total hits allowed, conceding 1,335 hits this season. The pitching staff has allowed 681 runs, bringing their ERA to 4.01 (629 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.90, with 1,548 strikeouts compared to 477 walks. The team has allowed 187 home runs while giving up 4.34 runs per nine innings (10th in MLB).
In 140 save situations, the Phillies have secured 73 holds and recorded 23 blown saves. Philadelphia’s relievers have entered 65 save opportunities, achieving 42 saves; their inherited runner score rate is 38.0% from 166 inherited runners. The bullpen has made 158 high-leverage appearances and 119 appearances with runners on base, achieving a save percentage of 64.6% in 520 relief appearances this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 104 double plays this season, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The team’s statistics include 1,314 assists, 78 errors, and 4,234 putouts throughout 12,702 innings, with a defensive efficiency rating of 67.9% (28th in professional baseball).
Zack Wheeler (126-80 career record) has a strong 3.26 ERA and allows 7.6 hits per nine innings. He holds a K/BB ratio of 3.74 and has faced 7,708 opposing hitters over his MLB career. Wheeler has given up 683 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.131 and a FIP of 3.2. To date, he has allowed 1,593 hits and accumulated 2,008 strikeouts across 1,884 innings.
Who will take the victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (+132)
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