- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Scheduled Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+126) vs Toronto (-152)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (25-13) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (18-21) at Rogers Centre on Monday. The moneyline for this game has the Rays valued at +126, while the Blue Jays stand at -152. The over/under for total runs is set at 9, with Drew Rasmussen and Kevin Gausman likely taking the mound.
This season, the Rays have achieved a slugging percentage of .373, encountering 269 strikeouts while drawing 124 walks. They have amassed 157 RBIs along with 323 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .254. Tampa Bay has hit 46 doubles and notched 31 home runs, leading to a total of 167 runs scored, with an on-base percentage of .327. On average, the Rays are scoring 4.4 runs per game, placing them 13th in Major League Baseball.
With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.45, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff features a collective WHIP of 1.17. They have allowed 40 home runs and conceded a total of 150 runs (ranking 5th in MLB). The Rays have also given up 279 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) resulting in 133 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 3.51, putting them 5th in the league, and the staff has struck out 294 batters while walking 120. The team’s FIP is currently at 4.06 this season.
The Rays’ bullpen has a successful save rate of 80.0%, having participated in 51 save scenarios, achieving 16 saves and blowing 4 out of 20 opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 46 runners, with a scoring percentage of 28.3%. They’ve faced 35 situations with runners on base and have made 42 appearances under high-pressure conditions. In total, Tampa Bay has utilized 121 different relief pitchers this year, achieving 31 holds, ranking 3rd in the league.
A remarkable 73.1% of balls in play have been converted to outs in their 3,072 innings, making them 1st in baseball for fielding efficiency. This season, the Rays have recorded 1,024 putouts, 303 assists, and 28 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .979, which places them 29th overall. They have successfully executed 21 double plays.
Drew Rasmussen has pitched for 496 innings, accumulating 465 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 32-18, Rasmussen holds a FIP of 2.86 and has faced 1,987 batters in the majors. His career ERA is 2.90 (allowing 160 earned runs) and he has a WHIP of 1.058, having given up 400 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) along with 125 walks.
The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .385 and average 4.18 runs per game, ranking them 21st in baseball. They have hit 62 doubles, drawn 113 walks, and scored a total of 163 runs. With 37 home runs this season, they have also earned 157 RBIs while facing 260 strikeouts (30th in the league) and achieving 334 hits. Toronto’s on-base percentage stands at .316, along with a batting average of .253 for the year.
On the pitching front, the Blue Jays have allowed 170 runs this season and maintain a 4.04 ERA (154 earned runs). They’ve given up 38 home runs and permit 4.46 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). Their WHIP is 1.294, coupled with a team FIP of 3.67. The pitchers have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.20, having recorded 353 strikeouts against 120 walks. Toronto ranks 19th in the league for total hits conceded, with 324 allowed so far.
Toronto’s bullpen has an inherited runner scoring percentage of 25.4% from 67 inherited base runners. Relief pitchers have taken the mound 44 times in critical situations and 46 times with runners on base. The Blue Jays have saved 50.0% of their 44 save situations, achieving 26 holds but blowing 8 saves, ranking them 27th in the league. They have used 146 different relief pitchers this season.
In fielding, the Toronto Blue Jays have turned 33 double plays, boasting a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). They have 319 assists, 26 errors, and registered 1,031 putouts in the current season. Across 3,093 defensive innings, they hold a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (27th in MLB).
Gausman, over his professional career, has allowed 1,872 hits while securing 1,997 strikeouts in 1,957 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 826 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.67, having faced a total of 8,171 hitters, with a career record of 114-115 and an ERA of 3.80, allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB match-up against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Opt for Tampa Bay (+126)
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