- Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- TV Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) Toronto (-145)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (57-42) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (46-54) at Rogers Centre this Wednesday. With the Rays listed at +125 on the moneyline and the Blue Jays at -145, the over/under for this matchup is established at 9 runs. Griffin Jax and Spencer Miles are projected to be the starting pitchers for both teams.
At the plate, the Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them 16th overall in Major League Baseball. So far this season, they have scored a total of 442 runs with an on-base percentage of .332. The Rays have recorded 143 doubles and hit 101 home runs, leading to 419 RBIs and 852 hits for a team batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, with 708 strikeouts and 342 walks to their credit.
With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.97, the Rays’ pitching staff maintains a collective WHIP of 1.18. The team has allowed 127 home runs and 422 runs this season, ranking 9th in the league. Tampa Bay has given up 775 hits (average of 7.9 per 9 innings) and 379 earned runs, culminating in a team ERA of 3.88 (9th in MLB). Their pitchers have struck out 791 batters while allowing 266 walks, with a FIP of 4.21.
The Rays’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 72.5%, having been involved in 126 save situations. They have successfully converted 37 saves from 51 opportunities while blowing 14. Of the 117 inherited runners, 29.1% have scored. This season, the Rays’ relief pitchers have entered 81 times with runners on base and have made 95 high-leverage appearances. So far, the team has called 314 relievers to the mound, and their bullpen ranks 2nd in the league with 75 holds.
Defensively, the Rays have converted 71.8% of balls in play into outs over 7,920 innings, placing them 2nd in professional baseball. They have achieved 2,640 putouts, 795 assists, and committed 61 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB) and turning 67 double plays.
Griffin Jax has pitched 431 innings, recording 482 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. He holds an ERA of 4.05 (194 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.173 with 376 hits allowed (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 130 walks. Jax has faced 1,795 opposing batters and has a career win-loss record of 28-38 with a FIP of 3.99.
The Toronto Blue Jays have notched 101 home runs and 382 RBIs this season, along with 151 doubles, 275 walks, and 398 runs scored. Their on-base percentage is .304, and they hold a team batting average of .242. The Blue Jays’ slugging percentage is .380, averaging 3.98 runs per game (30th in the league). They face a high strikeout rate with 724 strikeouts (29th) and have made 811 hits this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.305 and a team FIP of 4.02 this season. They rank 13th in total hits allowed, surrendering 801 hits and 449 runs with an ERA of 4.15 (408 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.00 (888 strikeouts versus 354 walks) and have allowed 111 home runs, giving up 4.57 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB).
The Blue Jays’ bullpen has an inherited runner scoring percentage of 28.0% from 157 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have participated in 115 high-leverage situations and 107 appearances with runners on base. They have achieved 64 holds and 13 blown saves out of 110 save situations, boasting a save percentage of 69.8%, and have deployed 366 relief pitchers this season.
On defense, the Blue Jays have turned 70 double plays and their fielding percentage stands at .982 (26th in MLB). They have accumulated 837 assists, 65 errors, and 2,657 putouts in 7,971 innings, resulting in a defensive efficiency rating of 69.4% (21st in the majors).
Spencer Miles has allowed 53 hits while striking out 61 batters over 64 innings in his professional career. With a career record of 4-2, he boasts a 3.52 ERA, surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings and allowing 25 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.125, with a FIP of 3.5, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.21 after facing 261 opposing hitters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose Toronto (-145)
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