- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+125) Toronto (-145)
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This Thursday at Rogers Centre, the Toronto Blue Jays (46-55) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (58-42). The current moneyline features the Rays at +125 and the Blue Jays at -145. The over/under has been established at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Ian Seymour and Shane Bieber.
As a collective, the Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 16th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have compiled a total of 442 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .332. The Rays have hit 143 doubles and cleared the fence with 101 home runs this season. They’ve accrued 419 RBIs alongside 852 hits, boasting a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage sits at .402, but they have faced 708 strikeouts while achieving 342 walks.
On the pitching side, the Rays have an earned run average (ERA) of 3.88, ranking them 9th in the league, with their pitchers recording 791 strikeouts thus far. They have allowed 127 home runs and surrendered a total of 422 runs (ranked 9th). With 266 walks issued, the collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.21. The Rays’ pitchers have given up 775 hits (7.9 per nine innings) and 379 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.97, and their WHIP is at 1.18 this season.
The Tampa Bay relief squad boasts a 72.5% save percentage across 126 save opportunities. They have successfully converted 37 saves out of 51 chances while blowing 14 save situations. Over the season, Rays relievers have inherited 117 base runners, with 29.1% scoring. They have been called into high-leverage situations 95 times and utilized 314 pitchers overall this year. Their relievers have also tallied 75 holds, ranking them 2nd in MLB.
Defensively, the Tampa Bay Rays have recorded 2,640 putouts, 795 assists, and 61 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .983, placing them 24th in the majors. The team is converting 71.8% of balls in play into outs across 7,920 innings, which ranks them 2nd in professional baseball.
Ian Seymour has pitched for 124 innings, striking out 143 batters in his MLB career. With a career record of 10-5, Seymour holds a FIP of 4.21 after facing 525 batters, with an ERA of 4.28 (59 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.176. He has yielded 101 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) along with 45 walks.
On the other side, the Toronto Blue Jays have a combined OBP of .304 and a team batting average of .242 this year. They have struck out 724 times (29th in the league) while registering a total of 811 hits. The Blue Jays have hit 101 home runs and produced 382 RBIs this season. Their slugging percentage is .380, and they score an average of 3.98 runs per game (30th in the league). Along with 151 doubles, they have accumulated 275 walks, contributing to 398 runs overall.
The Blue Jays staff has a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.02 for the season. Ranking 13th in the league, they have allowed a total of 801 hits and 449 runs, leading to a team ERA of 4.15 (408 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.00 (888 strikeouts against 354 walks). They have given up 111 home runs and allow 4.57 runs per nine innings (16th in baseball).
In 110 save situations, the Blue Jays have achieved 64 holds and encountered 13 blown saves. Their bullpen has been summoned in 43 save situations, successfully converting 30 saves. Toronto’s relief corps has a 28.0% inherited run percentage out of 157 inherited base runners. Their bullpen has made 115 high-leverage appearances and stepped in with runners on base 107 times. They are currently 11th in the league with a save rate of 69.8%, sending 366 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
Defensively, the Blue Jays have participated in 7,971 innings with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (21st in baseball). They have successfully turned 70 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in professional baseball), alongside 837 assists, 65 errors, and 2,657 putouts this season.
Over his career, Shane Bieber has allowed 815 hits and accumulated 1,014 strikeouts in 906 innings pitched. With a career win-loss record of 67-35, Bieber sports an ERA of 3.31 and surrenders 8.1 hits per nine innings. His total earned runs allowed stand at 333, with a WHIP of 1.128 and a FIP of 3.3. Additionally, he has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.90 after facing 3,682 batters.
Who do you think will triumph in tonight’s MLB encounter, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Pick Tampa Bay (+125)
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