- Matchup: TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Baylor Bears favored by 6.0 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 47.5
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The Baylor Bears, currently standing at 4-1, are set to host the TCU Horned Frogs, who sit at 2-3, at McLane Stadium on Saturday, October 17, 2026. As the game unfolds, TCU enters as 6-point underdogs, with the anticipated over/under set at 47.5 points.
Coming into this contest, the TCU Horned Frogs have a record of 2-3 this season. In their most recent game, the Horned Frogs faced off against the BYU Cougars, ultimately falling short with a score of 17-10. During the match, TCU rushed the ball 30 times, amassing 72 yards, averaging 2.4 yards per carry. Over the course of the game, they ran 55 plays for a total of 259 yards. In the passing game, TCU completed 11 of 24 attempts for 62 yards, resulting in a 45.8% completion rate. Defensively, TCU allowed 154 rushing yards on 38 attempts, averaging 4.1 yards per rush.
In terms of scoring efficiency, the TCU Horned Frogs are averaging 25.4 points per game. Their rushing attack totals approximately 125.4 yards per game, ranking 110th nationally. This season, TCU has accumulated 2,027 total offensive yards. The Horned Frogs have scored 8 touchdowns through the air and 7 on the ground, while accruing 104 first downs and committing 33 penalties for a total of 301 yards lost. They have also turned the ball over 8 times.
Defensively, the Horned Frogs have allowed 777 passing yards, placing them 9th in college football. They give up 155.4 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 58.7%. For the entire season, TCU is allowing an average of 255.0 total yards per game, also ranked 9th in Division 1. They have conceded 2 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns, while opponents average 3.2 yards per carry and 99.6 rushing yards per game, totaling 498 rushing yards surrendered thus far. TCU boasts a strong defense ranking 9th in Division 1, with only 13.4 points allowed per game.
The Bears come into this game with a solid 4-1 record for the season. Their previous outing resulted in an emphatic 55-19 victory over the Arizona State Sun Devils. Baylor’s defense faced 30 rushing attempts, allowing just 99 yards at an average of 3.3 yards per carry. Their secondary conceded a completion rate of 59.1%, yielding 310 yards on 26 of 44 passing attempts. Total offensive production for Baylor reached 564 yards across 79 plays, with an impressive average of 7.1 yards per play. The Bears found success on the ground, averaging 6.8 yards per carry, collecting 244 yards on 36 attempts.
On the scoring front, the Bears hold the 40th position nationally, averaging 34.8 points per game. They generate approximately 461.4 total yards per game, ranking 23rd in the nation. Baylor’s offense has accumulated 336 penalty yards through 37 infractions, ranking 70th for the season in terms of yardage lost to penalties. They have recorded 5 interceptions and 3 fumbles, along with 129 first downs. Over the season, they have thrown for 1,460 passing yards, averaging 292.0 passing yards per game, which places them 17th in the country. In addition, they have rushed for an average of 169.4 yards per game, accumulating a total of 847 rushing yards.
Defensively, the Bears give up 14.2 points per game, holding the 12th rank in Division 1. They have allowed 487 rushing yards on the season (97.4 yards per game) and 4 touchdowns scored on the ground. The Bears’ pass defense has yielded 3 touchdowns and 229.2 passing yards per game, ranking 96th in the country. Overall, Baylor’s defense has been on the field for 361 plays, placing them in the 62nd position in Division 1. They have forced 5 fumbles and clinched 5 interceptions this season, allowing a total of just 71 points so far.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s college football clash between the Horned Frogs and Bears?
Expert’s Prediction: Bet on the Horned Frogs +6.0
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