- Matchup: Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans
- Schedule: Thursday, November 5, 2026
- Venue: Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
- Broadcast: Peacock
- Betting Odds: Toledo (+25.5)
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The Toledo Rockets, boasting a record of 19-15 last season, are set to face the Michigan State Spartans, who finished at 27-8, at Breslin Center on Thursday. Michigan State enters the game as a significant favorite, listed at 25.5 points. The over/under for this matchup is established at 151.5.
In their previous outing, the Toledo Rockets faced the Arkansas State team, resulting in a narrow defeat with a score of 71-70. Toledo recorded a field goal percentage of 39.7%, successfully making 29 of 73 attempts, including 6 out of 27 from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, they hit 6 of 8 for an effective 75.0%. On the boards, Toledo secured 44 rebounds, with 14 being offensive. The team executed 21 assists but also registered 8 turnovers and 7 steals. Defensively, they held Arkansas State to a 35.7% shooting rate, allowing 25 baskets out of 70 attempts. Arkansas State managed 15 assists and achieved 12 steals in the contest. Their rebounding totals reached 44, with 17 offensive and 27 defensive boards, yet they did not register any blocks. The free-throw shooting for Arkansas State was 43.5%, completing 10 of 23 attempts. Additionally, they converted 11 out of 37 three-point attempts. The personal fouls tallied for Toledo was 18, while Arkansas State committed 15.
Highlighting Toledo’s performance, Angel Montas Jr. was a standout in the game, contributing 16 points on 7 of 16 shooting, logging 26 minutes of play along with 10 rebounds and 3 assists.
Toledo enters this matchup following a season where they maintained a 19-15 record. Averaging 10.2 turnovers per game, they committed 14.8 personal fouls. The Rockets averaged 34.0 rebounds per game, amassing a total of 550 assists last season, which positioned them 54th in Division 1 for assists. Their shooting accuracy from long range was 36.6% (246 out of 673) and they maintained a 75.9% free-throw shooting rate. They averaged an impressive 81.0 points per game, ranking 64th in college basketball, while shooting at an overall rate of 48.9%.
Defensively, the Rockets forced an average of 12.5 turnovers while committing 16.4 personal fouls per game. They allowed a 33.9% shooting rate from the three-point line and ranked 256th in points allowed per game (76.6). Opponents shot 46.9% against the Rockets (979 of 2,087) and Toledo surrendered an average of 34.9 rebounds per game. They finished 306th in Division 1 for assists allowed, conceding a total of 500 throughout the previous season.
In their last game, the Michigan State Spartans celebrated a decisive 96-59 victory over Quinnipiac. The Spartans managed to collect 29 defensive and 14 offensive rebounds, putting their total at 43 for the game. They gave up the ball 12 times yet came away with 10 steals. Quinnipiac, meanwhile, was assessed 19 fouls, allowing the Spartans 26 free-throw attempts, converting 15 at a 57.7% success rate. From three-point range, Michigan State hit 9 of 23 attempts, totaling 39.1%. They finished the game strong, shooting 36 of 62 from the field, good for 58.1%. Defensively, they limited Quinnipiac to 20 baskets on 56 attempts for a shooting percentage of 35.7%. The Spartans allowed Quinnipiac to connect on 6 of 21 three-point attempts (28.6%) and shot 54.2% from the free-throw line (13 of 24). In total rebounding, Michigan State restricted Quinnipiac to 23 rebounds (8 offensive).
Jeremy Fears Jr. made an impact for Michigan State, shooting 5 for 8 for 62.5% accuracy, while also recording 1 rebound and finishing with 13 points and 11 assists in 26 minutes of play.
Last season, Michigan State concluded with a solid 27-8 record. Offensively, they shot 47.2% from the field, placing them 60th in Division 1. They scored a cumulative total of 2,758 points, averaging 78.8 points per game, and gathered 39.7 rebounds per game. Their assists average stood at 18.6, ranking 4th nationally, with 11.6 turnovers per game. The Spartans averaged 16.0 personal fouls and achieved a 76.4% success rate from the free-throw line.
The Spartans’ defense allowed opponents a 33.0% shooting success from three-point range (303 of 919), while opposing teams converted 74.4% of their free-throw attempts. Their average allowed 28.5 assists and 28.3 rebounds per game, ranking them 347th and 1st, respectively, in college basketball. Defensively, the Spartans were positioned 41st in points allowed per game at 68.3, tallying an average of 10.0 forced turnovers per game and permitting teams to shoot 41.3% from the field (39th in college basketball).
Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Toledo (+25.5)
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