- Matchup: Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans
- Event Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Venue: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
- Broadcast: FS1
- Point Spread: Spartans favored by (-10.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 46.5
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On September 4, 2026, the Michigan State Spartans (4-8 in the previous season) will take on the Toledo Rockets (8-5 last season) at Spartan Stadium. The Rockets are entering this contest as 10.5-point underdogs, according to the latest odds. The expected total for the game is set at 46.5 points.
Toledo wrapped up their previous season with an 8-5 record. In their last outing, they faced the Louisville Cardinals but fell short, losing 27-22. In terms of their defensive front, Toledo allowed 180 rushing yards on 36 attempts, averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Through the air, they permitted 16 completions out of 24 attempts for a total of 153 yards, achieving a 66.7% completion percentage. They executed 68 plays that totaled 336 yards, while their rushing game logged 169 yards on 40 carries, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt.
In scoring, the Toledo Rockets averaged 30.8 points per game. On the ground, they averaged 177.2 rushing yards per game, positioning them at 41st in Division 1. Over the season, Toledo amassed a total of 5,398 yards. They recorded 27 touchdown passes and 22 rushing touchdowns, totaling 276 first downs. However, they were penalized 111 times for 971 yards and turned the ball over 16 times.
Defensively, the Rockets ranked 4th in Division 1 for points allowed, giving up just 13.3 points per game. Their opponents averaged 2.7 rushing yards per carry and 96.3 rushing yards per game, resulting in a total of 1,252 rushing yards conceded over 13 games. In the passing game, Toledo allowed 2,054 yards, placing them again at 4th in the division, yielding an average of 158.0 yards per game and a 50.0% completion rate. Overall, they gave up 254.3 yards per game, ranking 2nd in college football. They permitted 10 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground.
The Michigan State Spartans concluded the season with a 4-8 record. In their most recent game, they secured a victory against the Maryland Terrapins, finishing 38-28. The Spartans managed to rush for an average of 5.2 yards per carry, totaling 161 yards on 31 attempts. They amassed a total of 453 yards in the game, running 70 plays at an average of 6.5 yards per play. The secondary of the Spartans allowed a completion rate of 62.3%, yielding 459 yards on 38 completions out of 61 attempts. They conceded 75 rushing yards on 16 attempts, averaging 4.7 yards per carry.
This past season, the Spartans averaged 345.5 total yards per game, ranking 99th in Division 1. The Spartans committed 544 yards worth of penalties on 64 infractions, placing them at 107th nationwide in this aspect. They recorded an average of 122.8 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,474 rushing yards. Michigan State had 6 interceptions and lost 6 fumbles, achieving 227 first downs. On points scored, they ranked 89th in Division 1, averaging 24.6 points per game. Last season, the Spartans tallied a total of 2,672 passing yards with an average of 222.7 yards per game, ranking them at 70th in the division.
Defensively, Michigan State allowed an average of 29.9 points per game, placing them at 104th in college football. Their defense conceded 1,768 rushing yards (147.3 yards per game) and 22 rushing touchdowns throughout the season. They also allowed 23 passing touchdowns and 231.3 yards per game, ranking 93rd in the nation. The Spartans’ defense was on the field for 761 plays, putting them at 8th in Division 1. They recorded 4 fumbles and 5 interceptions last season, allowing a total of 359 points over the course of the season.
Who will take the victory in this Rockets vs. Spartans college football matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Select the Rockets +10.5
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