- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date of Game: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcasting: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-160) Cleveland (+132)
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At Progressive Field, the Cleveland Guardians (69-68) are set to battle the Toronto Blue Jays (68-70) this Wednesday. With the Blue Jays listed at a moneyline of -160 and the Guardians at +132, this matchup is highly anticipated. The over/under for this contest is set at 8.5 runs. Dylan Cease and Joey Cantillo are the starting pitchers for their respective teams.
As a collective unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring an average of 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 29th among all teams. They have registered a total of 548 runs with a .307 on-base percentage. The Blue Jays have achieved 221 doubles and hit 131 home runs this season. They have accumulated 524 RBIs and recorded 1,142 hits, leading to a team batting average of .246. With a slugging percentage of .382, they have struck out 990 times while drawing 381 walks.
The Blue Jays have maintained a team ERA of 3.94, ranking 11th in the league, while their pitchers have racked up 1,211 strikeouts. They have allowed 141 home runs and 598 runs overall, placing them 12th in the league. With 509 walks given up, their FIP stands at 3.93. Toronto has permitted 1,094 hits, averaging 8.0 hits per nine innings, along with 538 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.38, and they currently hold a WHIP of 1.31.
The Blue Jays’ relief squad has registered a 75.4% save rate, having entered 155 save situations and successfully completing 46 saves, while experiencing 15 blown saves out of 61 opportunities. Their bullpen has inherited 212 base runners, with 26.9% scoring. Throughout the season, Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound with runners on base during 148 instances, including 175 appearances in high-leverage scenarios. The bullpen has collectively recorded 90 holds this season, ranking 4th in Major League Baseball.
Toronto has successfully converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,055 innings, placing them 14th in the league. They have 3,685 putouts, 1,159 assists, and 81 errors, with a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 22nd in the Majors, alongside 92 double plays executed.
Dylan Cease has pitched 1,165 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 1,448 strikeouts. With a career record of 74-63, Cease has faced 4,905 batters, posting a 3.68 ERA and a WHIP of 1.238. To date, he has yielded 947 hits at an average of 7.3 hits per nine innings and has issued 495 walks.
The Guardians showcase a team slugging percentage of .371, scoring 4.07 runs per game, ranking 27th in baseball. They have notched 208 doubles and drawn 495 walks, resulting in 557 runs scored this season. Cleveland has registered 127 home runs and 534 RBIs, while striking out 1,108 times (22nd in MLB) and accumulating 1,081 hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .315, with a team batting average of .237.
Cleveland pitchers possess a WHIP of 1.259 and a FIP of 3.89. They rank 9th in the league for hits allowed, giving up 1,080 hits all season. The Guardians pitching staff has surrendered 559 runs with a collective ERA of 3.73 (504 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.40 (1,274 strikeouts vs 450 walks), allowing 154 home runs and yielding 4.14 runs per nine innings (7th in the league).
With 156 save opportunities, the Guardians have accumulated 100 holds along with 14 blown saves. Their bullpen has been called upon in 54 save situations, successfully converting 40 saves. Relief pitchers have faced 217 inherited base runners, with a scoring rate of 26.3%. Throughout the season, Cleveland’s bullpen has appeared 151 times in high-leverage situations and 139 times with runners on base. They currently rank 4th in MLB with a 74.1% save percentage, deploying 470 relief pitchers this year.
The Guardians have executed 89 double plays, showing a .985 fielding rate (17th in MLB). They have recorded 1,059 assists, made 71 errors, and totaled 3,647 putouts this season. Throughout their 10,941 innings played, Cleveland boasts a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in pro baseball).
Joey Cantillo, sporting a 16-14 career record, holds a 3.70 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.34 after facing 1,153 batters in his professional career. He has allowed 111 earned runs, showcasing a WHIP of 1.362 and a FIP of 3.6. In his time on the mound, Cantillo has allowed 241 hits and accrued 297 strikeouts across 270 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Toronto (-160)
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