- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Toronto (+106) New York (-128)
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The New York Yankees (28-18) are set to host the Toronto Blue Jays (20-25) at Yankee Stadium this Tuesday. The moneyline for this matchup indicates Toronto at +106 and New York at -128. The over/under is set at 9 runs. Scheduled to pitch are Dylan Cease and Will Warren.
This season, the Blue Jays have recorded 70 doubles and launched 42 home runs. Toronto maintains a slugging percentage of .371, having struck out 311 times and drawn 133 walks. Currently, they average 4.1 runs per game, ranking 23rd in Major League Baseball. With 181 RBIs and 375 hits this season, their batting average stands at .242, alongside 188 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .305.
The Blue Jays hold a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91, with their pitching staff achieving a combined WHIP of 1.29. They have allowed 44 home runs and a total of 199 runs (13th in MLB). Toronto’s pitchers have given up 384 base hits (averaging 8.4 per 9 innings) and 180 earned runs. The team’s season ERA is 3.96 (ranking 13th), and they have recorded 416 strikeouts. Their pitching strategy involved 143 walks, with a season FIP of 3.62.
This season, the Blue Jays have utilized 172 relievers. Their bullpen has inherited 75 base runners, with 24% of those scoring. They have secured 26 holds this year (14th in MLB). The relief pitchers have entered 55 times with runners on base and 56 times in pivotal game situations, achieving 9 saves but blowing 9 of 18 chances. Their save percentage currently sits at 50.0%
With 1,228 putouts, 386 assists, and 29 errors, the Blue Jays maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB) and have turned 36 double plays. They have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs over their 3,684 innings, ranking 28th in professional baseball.
Dylan Cease has pitched 1,067 innings, racking up 1,306 career strikeouts with a 3.81 earned run average, allowing 452 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.261, having yielded 895 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and 451 walks. With a career record of 68-59, Cease’s FIP is 3.75 as he has faced 4,521 MLB batters.
The New York Yankees have an on-base percentage of .331 and a batting average of .235 this season. They have struck out 419 times (8th in MLB), totaling 361 hits. New York has hit 68 home runs and accumulated 224 RBIs, while sporting a team slugging percentage of .428. Their scoring average is 5.04 runs per game, positioning them 5th in baseball. The Yankees have also recorded 79 doubles, drawn 216 walks, and scored 237 runs.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.168 with a FIP of 3.47 this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is an impressive 8.80 (408 strikeouts against 145 walks). They rank 5th in MLB for the fewest hits allowed (340) and have surrendered 37 home runs, giving up 3.66 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The New York staff has allowed 169 runs, with an overall team ERA of 3.30 (152 earned runs).
This season, New York’s relief pitchers have inherited 86 runners with a scoring rate of 30.2%. They have entered high-leverage situations 53 times and have taken the mound 56 times with runners on base. Out of 48 save situations, they have 28 holds and experienced 9 blown saves, ranking 25th in MLB with a save rate of 52.6%. A total of 153 relievers have been used this year.
In 3,738 innings, the Yankees achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in the majors). They have turned 34 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball), alongside 444 assists, 25 errors, and 1,246 putouts this season.
Will Warren, with a career record of 14-12, has an ERA of 4.81, allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98, having faced 1,019 opposing hitters throughout his career and allowed 124 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.383 with a FIP of 4.7. In total, Warren has conceded 234 hits and achieved 259 strikeouts over 232 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-128)
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