- Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan
- UFC Vegas 117 Matchup
- Meta APEX, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
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On Saturday, May 16, 2026, Tuco Tokkos is set to clash with Ivan Erslan at UFC Vegas 117. Current betting odds favor Tokkos at +140, while Erslan is listed at -160.
Tuco Tokkos approaches this bout with a record of 11 wins and 5 losses, competing at 205 lbs and standing tall at 6’4″. This orthodox fighter boasts a wingspan of 76 inches. In contrast, Ivan Erslan stands at 6’2″ and also weighs in at 205 lbs. With a professional record of 14 wins and 6 losses (1 No Contest), the 34-year-old Erslan has a reach of 72 inches. In terms of significant strikes, Tokkos averages 2.12 landed strikes per minute, while Erslan connects at a rate of 2.55 strikes per minute. Notably, Tokkos lands 40% of his attempts, whereas Erslan has a striking accuracy of 46%. Defensively, Tokkos absorbs 4.27 significant strikes per minute, while Erslan allows 5.01. Tokkos successfully avoids 46% of incoming strikes, in contrast to Erslan’s 53% defense.
| UFC Vegas 117 Overview | Tuco Tokkos | Ivan Erslan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +140 | -160 |
| Current Record | 11-5-0 | 14-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Duration | 8:01 | 11:06 |
| Height | 6’4″ | 6’2″ |
| Weight Class | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach Advantage | 76″ | 72″ |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 2.12 | 2.55 |
| Striking Accuracy | 40% | 46% |
When it comes to takedowns, Tuco Tokkos exhibits a more aggressive approach, averaging 4.21 takedowns every 15 minutes and succeeding in 47% of his attempts. Defensively, he defends against 33% of opponents’ takedown attempts. Ivan Erslan, on the other hand, lands his takedowns only 20% of the time and successfully defends against 61% of takedown attempts against him. In submission attempts, Tokkos is more adept, averaging 0.5 attempts every 3 rounds compared to Erslan’s 0.3 attempts per 15 minutes.
In his latest fight, Tuco Tokkos faced Junior Tafa, securing victory via arm triangle submission in the second round. Tafa succeeded in landing 25 out of 39 total strikes during the match, while Tokkos connected on 31 out of 57. Notably, out of Tafa’s significant strikes, 24 of 38 were successful, showcasing a 63% accuracy rate. Tokkos’s significant strikes were efficient too, landing 50% of his attempts with 11 out of 22 finding their mark. Specifically, he connected on 7 out of 17 aimed at the head, whereas Tafa’s distance striking accounted for 25% and Tokkos’s 36% success rate.
In Ivan Erslan’s recent bout, he faced Jimmy Crute and suffered a loss via rear-naked choke in the first round. Crute landed 75% of his significant strikes from distance, while Erslan hit 100% of his attempts at range. Erslan’s overall significant striking rate was 71%, connecting on 10 out of 14 attempts, with 9 out of 13 targeted at the head. Crute was efficient, landing 12 of 16 significant strikes, with 3 of those aimed at the head. The total striking stats showed Crute at 12 out of 16 and Erslan at 10 out of 14.
Additional Fights to Look Out For
A key matchup not to be overlooked features Cody Brundage against Andre Petroski. Brundage enters the Octagon with an 11-9-1 (1 NC) record. At 31 years old, he weighs 185 lbs and stands 6’0″ tall, with a reach of 72 inches. Petroski, also standing at 6’0″ and weighing the same, has a record of 13-5-0 at 34 years of age, with a reach of 73 inches. In grappling metrics, Brundage averages 1.88 takedowns per 15 minutes while Petroski secures 3.15 takedowns every 3 rounds. In striking, Brundage connects at 2.26 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48%, while Petroski finds success with 2.81 strikes per minute and a 49% accuracy rate.
Don’t miss the match where Luis Gurule faces off against Daniel Barez. Barez aims for a win to improve his record of 17-7-0. At 37 years old, he weighs in at 125 lbs and stands at 5’6″, with a reach of 66 inches. Gurule, at 32 years old, is 5’5″ and also weighs 125 lbs, holding a record of 10-3-0. Barez showcases impressive defensive skills, thwarting 80% of opponent takedowns, while successfully landing 28% of his takedown attempts. Gurule’s success rate for takedowns is 14%, defending against 58% of opponent attempts. In striking, Barez absorbs 5.95 strikes per minute, landing 3.65, while Gurule takes 4.74 and lands 4.47 strikes per minute.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match-up?
Prediction: Favoring Ivan Erslan (-160)
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