- Matchup: UC Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Venue: Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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This Saturday, the UC Davis Aggies (2-1) are set to visit the Hornet Pavilion to challenge the Sacramento State Hornets (1-1).
In their previous outing, the UC Davis Aggies defeated Incarnate Word with a solid 81-69 scoreline. The Aggies achieved a field goal percentage of 47.2%, hitting 25 of 53 attempts, including 9 of 23 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, UC Davis excelled, making 22 out of 26 for an impressive 84.6%. They secured a total of 32 rebounds, with 6 being offensive, while distributing 19 assists and forcing 14 turnovers, earning 6 steals in the process. Defensively, UC Davis allowed the opponents to shoot at 39.1% from the floor (25 of 64). Incarnate Word had 17 assists and 6 steals while pulling down a total of 33 boards, but failed to record a block. Their free-throw shooting was at 68.8%, making 11 of 16 attempts, as they also connected on 8 of their 27 three-pointers. In terms of fouls, the Aggies committed 15, whereas Incarnate Word accounted for 21 fouls.
Brayden Fagbemi was a standout performer in this match, scoring 21 points on 6 of 8 shooting over 31 minutes. He also grabbed 3 rebounds and delivered 9 assists, showcasing his efficiency with a field goal percentage of 75.0%.
The Aggies come into this game with a season record of 2-1. They average 14.0 turnovers per game and commit 20.0 fouls. UC Davis collects 39.3 rebounds on average and has registered 44 assists this season, ranking them 216th nationally in assists. The team’s three-point shooting stands at 30.4% (21 of 69), while their free-throw percentage is at 70.5%. The Aggies score an average of 73.7 points per game (ranked 255th nationwide) with a field goal percentage of 40.8%.
On the defensive front, the Aggies force an average of 15.3 turnovers per game while allowing 22.0 fouls. They rank 244th in college basketball for assists allowed, having relinquished 44 assists this season. Their opponents are shooting 38.4% against them (66 of 172), and they allow 36.7 rebounds per game, while restricting three-point shooting at 29.9%. In terms of points allowed, they rank 117th with 66.7 points per game.
In their last appearance, the Sacramento State Hornets suffered a defeat against Santa Clara, finishing the game 83-77. In terms of rebounding, Sacramento State allowed Santa Clara to collect 41 boards (11 offensive). The Hornets made 32.3% of their three-point attempts (10 of 31) and shot 75.0% from the free-throw line, making 15 of 20 attempts. Santa Clara finished 29 of 72 from the floor (40.3%), while Sacramento State’s shooting was at 39.3% (24 of 61). They hit 9 of 30 attempts from deep, equating to 30.0%, and made 20 of 31 free-throw attempts for a percentage of 64.5%. The Hornets recorded 39 total rebounds, including 33 defensive and 6 offensive.
Mikey Williams was a key player for the Hornets, scoring 21 points in 31 minutes, along with 4 assists and 6 rebounds, shooting 33.3% from the field (5 of 15).
Sacramento State holds a record of 1-1 for this season, averaging 22.0 fouls per game and shooting 70.7% from the charity stripe. They average 15.5 assists per game, ranking 168th in the nation, and commit 16.5 turnovers on average. This season, they have accumulated 167 points (averaging 83.5 per game) and grabbing 39.0 rebounds each contest. Their offensive shooting stands at 43.8% from the field, placing them 235th in Division 1.
Defensively, the Hornets limit opponents to a 28.8% shooting percentage from three-point range and allow 72.3% at the free-throw line. They permit an average of 17.5 assists and 40.0 total rebounds per game, ranking 328th and 309th, respectively. In points allowed, Sacramento State is 279th in Division 1, permitting 78.5 per game. They force an average of 17.0 turnovers while allowing opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field (ranked 169th in college basketball).
Who will come out on top in this NCAA match against the spread?
Prediction: Back UC Davis
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