- Matchup: Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- Broadcast: CBSSN
- Betting Odds/Spread: Broncos favored by 20.0 points
- Total Points/Over-Under: 51
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The Boise State Broncos (3-1) are set to clash with the Utah State Aggies (1-3) this Saturday at Albertsons Stadium. Utah State enters the contest as underdogs with a spread of 20 points. The over/under is established at 51 points.
Utah State approaches this game with a record of 1-3 so far this season. In their most recent outing against the Troy Trojans, the Aggies secured a victory, finishing 21-10. During that match, they executed 59 plays totaling 413 yards. The rushing attack saw the Aggies carry the ball 31 times for 171 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. On defense, they allowed 169 yards rushing on 31 attempts, also averaging 5.5 yards allowed per carry. In the passing game, Utah State conceded 25 completions on 49 attempts for a total of 226 yards, resulting in a completion rate of 51.0%.

This season, the Aggies have accumulated 1,279 total yards. For touchdown production, Utah State boasts 6 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing touchdown, with 11 total turnovers. They have achieved 72 first downs and accrued 37 penalties for 291 yards. Offensively, they average 116.5 rushing yards per game, ranking them 119th nationally. Points-wise, the Aggies are scoring an average of 13.0 points per contest.
Defensively, the Aggies have allowed 913 passing yards, positioning them at 96th in the nation. They’ve given up an average of 228.3 yards per game through the air with a completion rate of 58.8%. Overall, they are allowing 368.0 yards per game, placing them 88th nationally, with 4 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns conceded. They surrender 4.3 yards per rush and average 139.8 rushing yards allowed per game, totaling 559 yards over 4 games. In terms of opponent scoring, the Aggies rank 64th in the nation, yielding 22.0 points per game.
The Broncos arrive with a solid 3-1 record this season. In their latest game, Boise State triumphed over Western Michigan with a score of 32-7. They allowed 113 rushing yards on 22 carries (5.1 yards per carry). Their passing defense held the opposition to a completion percentage of 51.7%, allowing 110 yards on 15 of 29 attempts. Over the game, Boise State amassed a total of 377 yards with 65 plays, averaging 5.8 yards per play. Their rushing offense produced 173 yards on 42 carries, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.
On the scoring front, Boise State ranks 54th in Division 1 with 33.8 points per game. The Broncos average 440.5 yards per game, ranking them 37th nationally. Their offense has incurred 209 yards in penalties across 22 infractions, sitting at 97th in Division 1 for aiding their opponents. They have yet to throw an interception but have lost 2 fumbles and have accumulated 96 first downs. This season, Boise State has thrown for a total of 814 yards, averaging 203.5 passing yards per game, which ranks them 99th nationally. They are also excelling in rushing, averaging 237.0 yards per game and totaling 948 rushing yards.
Defensively, the Broncos allow 21.3 points per game, placing them 54th in D-1. This year, they have given up a total of 403 rushing yards (100.8 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they’ve conceded 7 touchdowns and 278.8 yards per game, ranking them 131st nationally. The Boise State defense has participated in 216 plays, which ranks 11th in the country, securing 1 fumble recovery and 4 interceptions throughout the season, yielding a total of 85 points.
Who will emerge victorious in this Aggies/Broncos college football rivalry in terms of the spread?
Prediction: Back the Broncos -20.0
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