- Matchup: Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: Prime Video
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+7.5)
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This Sunday, the Washington Mystics (28-16) are set to clash with the Atlanta Dream (30-14) at State Farm Arena in Game 1 of their first-round playoff series. The Dream are favored by 7.5 points in this matchup, with the total set at 164.5.
In their last outing, the Washington Mystics secured a victory against the Chicago Sky, ending the game with a score of 101-93. The Mystics posted a shooting percentage of 50.0% (34 of 68) and nailed 10 of 22 from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, they successfully converted 23 of 32 attempts, reaching a 71.9% success rate. On the rebounding front, they collected a total of 44 boards, with 14 being offensive. They also recorded 19 assists and forced 7 turnovers while securing 4 steals. Defensively, Washington allowed Chicago to shoot 48.6% (36 of 74) from the field. Chicago managed 6 assists and 9 steals, along with 27 rebounds (6 offensive, 21 defensive) and 3 blocks, finishing with a free-throw efficiency of 65.0% (13 of 20) and 8 of 24 from the three-point line.
Sonia Citron made a significant contribution in the previous game, scoring 21 points on 8 of 9 shooting in 28 minutes of play, along with 5 rebounds and 5 assists, finishing with an outstanding field-goal percentage of 88.9%.
The Mystics enter this game with a campaign record of 28 wins and 16 losses. They are shooting 32.3% from three-point range (278 of 862) and boast a free-throw success rate of 73.1%. Averaging 84.0 points per game (12th in the league) and shooting 45.4% from the field, Washington commits an average of 14.7 turnovers each game and has an average of 19.3 personal fouls per contest. Collectively, they are grabbing an average of 37.7 rebounds and have dished out 868 assists, placing them 11th in the league for assists. On defense, the Mystics force 12.1 turnovers from their opponents and draw 22.8 fouls, while allowing a 3-point shooting percentage of 32.8%, ranking 2nd in the league for points allowed per game (82.7). Their defensive field goal percentage stands at 43.1% (531 of 1,002), surrendering an average of 30.1 rebounds per game. They currently rank 4th in the league for assists allowed, conceding 875 so far this season.
In their last match, the Atlanta Dream won decisively against the New York Liberty, concluding the game with a score of 83-65. Atlanta recorded 23 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 35 rebounds. They committed 6 turnovers and collected 12 steals in this game. New York committed 17 personal fouls, giving the Dream 15 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 13, achieving an 86.7% free-throw rate. From three-point range, Atlanta managed 10 out of 35 attempts (28.6%). Overall, the Dream shot 39.0% from the field with 30 of 77 shots made, while limiting New York to 20 of 55 field goal attempts, which yielded a shooting percentage of 36.4%. The Liberty struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 17.2% with 5 of 29 attempts, and made 20 of 22 from the free-throw line (90.9%). In terms of rebounding, Atlanta conceded a total of 40 boards to New York (7 offensive).
Allisha Gray played a pivotal role in the victory, scoring 24 points with 8 of 17 shooting (47.1% accuracy) and securing 4 rebounds in her 33 minutes on the court, along with 5 assists.
The Dream holds a season record of 30-14, having scored a total of 4,019 points (averaging 91.3 per game), while pulling in 35.6 rebounds per match. They commit an average of 19.6 personal fouls per game and maintain a free-throw percentage of 78.6%. Offensively, Atlanta features a field goal percentage of 44.2%, ranking them 11th in the league. They average 21.5 assists per game (6th in the league) and have a turnover rate of 12.6 per game. Defensively, Atlanta ranks 4th in the league for points allowed per game at 84.5. They force an average of 15.4 turnovers per contest and are permitting a field goal percentage of 46.9% to opponents (ranking 13th in the WNBA). The Dream allows 34.8% shooting from three-point range (355 of 1,019), while opponents hit 76.9% of their free-throw attempts. They concede an average of 19.2 assists and 31.0 rebounds per game, ranking 3rd and 2nd in those categories throughout the league.
Which team will secure a victory against the spread in tonight’s WNBA matchup?
Prediction: Back Washington (+7.5)
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