- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Washington (+106) Miami (-128)
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This Sunday, the Washington Nationals (61-68) head to LoanDepot Park to challenge the Miami Marlins (64-64). The moneyline for this game has the Nationals listed at +106, while the Marlins are at -128. The over/under is set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers will be Jackson Kent and Janson Junk.
The Nationals have accumulated 218 doubles and have launched 182 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .434, they have struck out 1,082 times while walking 446 times. Currently, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game, placing them first in the league. Throughout the season, they’ve produced 647 RBIs and 1,101 hits, along with a batting average of .249. Their on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .325, having scored 676 runs overall.
The Nationals’ team ERA stands at 4.68, placing them 27th in Major League Baseball, with their pitchers striking out 991 batters. They have given up 178 home runs and a total of 659 runs (28th in the league). The pitching staff has issued 452 walks this season, with a collective FIP of 4.73. Washington’s pitchers have allowed 1,137 hits (averaging 8.9 per 9 innings) and given up 596 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.19, culminating in a WHIP of 1.39.
The Nationals’ relief pitchers have faced situations with players on base 129 times and have made 136 appearances in high-pressure scenarios. They have successfully secured 64 holds this season (20th in MLB). The bullpen boasts a save rate of 50.8%, having participated in 134 save opportunities with 33 successful saves against 32 blown saves. This season, they have inherited 201 runners, with a 42.8% scoring rate. A total of 406 relievers have taken the mound for the Nationals thus far.
The Washington Nationals have recorded 3,441 putouts, 1,176 assists, and 89 errors as of now. Their fielding percentage of .981 ranks them last in baseball, with 110 double plays turned. This season, they have transformed 69.3% of balls in play into outs, ranking 23rd in the majors over 10,323 innings.
Suarez has yet to pitch this season, with 0 innings and 0 strikeouts in his career. His ERA stands at 0.00 (no earned runs allowed), and he has a WHIP of 0.000, having given up no hits (0.0 hits per nine innings) with no walks. With a career record of 0-0, Suarez has a FIP of 0.00, having faced no hitters in the majors.
The Miami Marlins feature a .326 OBP and a batting average of .250 so far this season. They have struck out 1,045 times (18th in the league) and gathered a total of 1,062 hits. The Marlins have recorded 131 home runs and 537 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .402, averaging 4.38 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 202 doubles while earning 431 walks and scoring 560 runs overall.
The Marlins boast a team WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.00 this season. They are currently 6th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 980. The Miami pitching staff has permitted 546 runs with an ERA of 3.96 (493 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,056 strikeouts to 426 walks), allowing 128 home runs and giving up 4.38 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).
Miami’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 23.6% from 157 inherited runners. Their relievers have appeared in 117 high-leverage situations and 107 innings with runners on base. With 116 save opportunities this season, they have achieved 69 holds and experienced 16 blown saves. They are positioned 15th in the league with a 64.4% save rate, dispatching 408 bullpen pitchers throughout the season.
The Miami Marlins have turned 95 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). Thus far, they have accumulated 1,058 assists, 82 errors, and 3,363 putouts this season. Over 10,089 innings, they boast a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in the majors).
Junk (13-15 career record) has an earned run average of 4.68, allowing 10.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 3.54, having faced 1,032 batters throughout his MLB career. He has given up 126 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.329 and a FIP of 4.6. Over his career, Junk has surrendered 272 hits and recorded 177 strikeouts in 242 innings pitched.
Who do you think will come out on top tonight in the MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Miami (-128) and the under at 9 runs
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