Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Outlook, 9/19/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Outlook, 9/19/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Game: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • TV: Cardinals.TV
  • Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+125) | St. Louis (-150)

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On Saturday, Busch Stadium will host the St. Louis Cardinals (75-78) as they take on the Washington Nationals (71-82). The current odds for the game have the Nationals at +125 and the Cardinals at -150, with a total of 8.5 runs expected. The starting pitchers are Andrew Alvarez and Michael McGreevy.

MLB Predictions for CJ Abrams and Washington Nationals - Best Bets

The Nationals have accumulated 270 doubles and launched 200 home runs as a team this season. They boast a slugging percentage of .426 and have faced 1,281 strikeouts, while drawing 528 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game places them 3rd in Major League Baseball. With 737 RBIs and 1,289 hits, Washington has a batting average of .247 and a on-base percentage of .323, totaling 778 runs this season.

The team’s K/BB ratio stands at 2.09, and their overall pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.39. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 204 home runs and a total of 775 runs (27th in MLB). Washington allowed 1,312 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 710 earned runs, while their team ERA is 4.71 (27th in baseball). The Nationals’ pitchers have managed to strike out 1,197 batters and have issued 572 walks; their FIP is calculated at 4.72 this season.

Nationals pitchers have faced runners on base 160 times and had high leverage situations 161 times during the season. The bullpen has recorded 72 holds (25th in baseball) with a save rate of 48.7%, getting into 154 save situations. They have achieved 37 saves so far, but have also blown 39 out of 76 save attempts. The bullpen has inherited 251 base runners this season, with 40.6% scoring. Washington has utilized 482 relief pitchers this year.

In their 12,204 innings played, the Nationals have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs, placing them 15th in the league. Washington has made 4,068 putouts, 1,381 assists, and 98 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, which ranks 29th in professional baseball, alongside 128 double plays.

Andrew Alvarez has pitched for 125 innings, amassing 119 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average sits at 3.17 (44 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.247. He has allowed 99 hits (7.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 57 walks. Alvarez has a career record of 3-7 and a FIP of 3.12, contesting against 525 batters in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have registered a team OBP of .316 and a batting average of .242 this year. They have struck out 1,204 times (25th in baseball) while recording 1,250 hits, with a total of 158 home runs and 671 RBIs. The Cardinals’ team slugging percentage stands at .382, averaging 4.53 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have amassed 221 doubles, walked 491 times, and tallied 693 runs.

As a pitching staff, the Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.357 and a FIP of 4.09. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (1,216 strikeouts to 532 walks) which places them 25th in MLB in total hits allowed, tallying 1,319. They’ve surrendered 152 home runs and allow 4.66 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Cardinals’ pitchers have permitted 707 runs during the season with a combined team ERA of 4.28 (649 earned runs).

The Cardinals’ relief pitchers have an inherited runner scoring percentage of 40.8% from 233 inherited runners. Their bullpen has been called upon 192 times in high leverage situations and faced 158 instances with runners on base. With 175 save opportunities, the Cardinals have amassed 96 holds and recorded 30 blown saves. Their save rate stands at 60.0% this season, ranking them 20th in baseball, while they’ve utilized 521 relievers.

New for this season, the Cardinals have reached a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (26th in MLB) over their 12,282 innings. St. Louis has completed 148 double plays and has a solid fielding percentage of .988, ranking 6th in the league, with 1,428 assists, 68 errors, and 4,094 putouts this season.

In his career so far, McGreevy has allowed 270 hits while achieving 188 strikeouts in 278 innings pitched. He holds an 18-13 career record with a 3.88 earned run average, giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. With 120 earned runs allowed, he registers a WHIP of 1.211 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio stands at 2.81, going against 1,144 opposing batters during his professional baseball career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or the moneyline?

Pick: Choose St. Louis (-150)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-150)
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