- Matchup: Cal Poly Mustangs vs UCLA Bruins
- Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
- Venue: Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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On Friday, the UCLA Bruins (7-3) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (5-6) at the iconic Pauley Pavilion.
The Cal Poly Mustangs recently suffered a defeat against UC Riverside with a final score of 88-84. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.4%, completing 27 of 57 attempts, and connected on 9 out of 29 three-pointers. From the charity stripe, they were 21 for 26, achieving an impressive 80.8% success rate. In the rebounding department, they secured 32 boards, 9 of which were offensive. Additionally, they provided 12 assists, forced 5 turnovers, and made 2 steals. Defensively, the Mustangs allowed their opponents a shooting percentage of 54.0%, with a total of 34 successful shots out of 63 attempts. UC Riverside managed to collect 30 rebounds (9 offensive, 21 defensive) without recording a block. Their free throw percentage was 66.7%, making 16 out of 24 attempts, alongside 4 successful three-pointers from 18 attempts. Notably, Cal Poly committed 18 fouls, while UC Riverside had 25 fouls in the matchup.
Hamad Mousa played a crucial role, achieving a shooting percentage of 57.1% and securing 4 assists over 36 minutes. He contributed significantly with 31 points from 8 of 14 shooting, and grabbed 9 rebounds.
Heading into this game, Cal Poly holds a record of 5-6 this season. They average 82.8 points per game (ranked 89th in D-1), with a shooting percentage of 43.7% from the field. The Mustangs are hitting 36.3% from beyond the arc (122 of 336) and 73.7% from the free throw line. As a team, they are gathering 39.5 rebounds per game and have recorded 149 assists this season, ranking them 223rd nationally in assists. However, they average 17.4 turnovers per game and 21.5 fouls each night.
When defending, the Mustangs force their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per game and draw 21.5 fouls. They allow a 3-point shooting percentage of 33.0% and are ranked 355th in the nation for points allowed per game (86.3). Their defensive field goal percentage stands at 45.5%, with 331 out of 728 shots made against them, and they allow 37.7 rebounds per game. They rank 318th in college basketball for assists allowed, with 175 assists given up this season.
In their previous game, the UCLA Bruins faced Gonzaga and lost 82-72. The Bruins gathered 21 defensive and 6 offensive rebounds, totaling 27 for the game. They turned the ball over 9 times while recording 5 steals. Gonzaga committed 16 fouls during the match, leading to UCLA taking 19 free throw attempts, successfully making 15 for a 78.9% rate. From beyond the arc, UCLA hit 7 of their 15 attempts (46.7%). They finished the game shooting 25 for 51 from the field, marking a rate of 49.0%. Defensively, UCLA allowed Gonzaga to shoot 50.0%, making 28 of 56 attempts, and conceded 31 rebounds (9 offensive).
Tyler Bilodeau was a standout for the Bruins, tallying 24 points in 34 minutes of action without dishing out any assists. He shot 7 of 13, achieving a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and secured 4 rebounds.
The UCLA Bruins hold a record of 7-3 this season. Offensively, they connect on 48.1% of their field goals, placing them 78th in D-1. They have amassed 767 points this season, averaging 76.7 points per game, and reel in 33.7 rebounds per game. Their assist average is 16.0 per game (104th in college), while they turn the ball over 10.8 times on average. The Bruins incur 16.8 personal fouls per game and maintain a free throw shooting percentage of 72.7%.
Defensively, UCLA ranks 46th in D-1 for points allowed per game at 66.7. They force their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per game and permit 41.7% shooting from the field (107th in college basketball). The Bruins allow 31.6% on shots from beyond the arc (73 out of 231) and their opponents successfully convert 69.1% of free throw attempts. They surrender 13.5 assists and 31.9 rebounds per game, ranking 194th and 65th in college basketball, respectively.
Who will cover the spread in today’s NCAA matchup?
Prediction: Bet on Cal Poly
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