San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Forecast, 1/11/2026 Analysis and Selection

Home » San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Forecast, 1/11/2026 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
  • Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network

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The San Antonio Spurs (26-11) are heading to Target Center this Sunday to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (25-13).

Keldon Johnson San Antonio Spurs NBA Predictions and Betting Odds

The Spurs recently clashed with the Lakers, securing a solid victory with a score of 107-91. San Antonio boasted a 48.8% shooting percentage (40 of 82) but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 4 out of 25 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Spurs excelled, converting 23 of 28 for an impressive 82.1% success rate. When it came to rebounds, they accumulated 50 total, including 8 offensive boards. The team also recorded 24 assists, committed 17 turnovers, and achieved 10 steals. Defensively, San Antonio limited their opponents to a shooting percentage of 39.5%, allowing Los Angeles to connect on 34 of 86 attempts. The Lakers registered 16 assists and accomplished 9 steals. They finished with 45 rebounds (10 offensive and 35 defensive) and recorded 5 blocks, while shooting 63.6% from the free-throw line, making 14 of 22 attempts, and only hitting 9 out of 39 attempts from three-point range. For fouls, San Antonio recorded 20, while the Lakers had 21.

Keldon Johnson had a standout performance in this matchup. He scored 27 points, shooting an impressive 11 out of 13 from the floor. He logged 28 minutes of play and grabbed 6 rebounds but did not record any assists.

San Antonio enters this matchup boasting a record of 26-11 this season. The team averages 14.1 turnovers per game and commits 19.5 personal fouls. Collectively, they are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game and have dished out 959 assists this season, ranking 18th in the league. The Spurs are shooting 35.0% from three-point range (479 of 1,370) and 79.7% from the free-throw line. They average 119.0 points per game, placing them 8th in the league, shooting at a 47.7% clip from the field.

On defense, San Antonio forces 14.1 turnovers per contest and commits 21.6 personal fouls. They rank 15th in the league in assists allowed, with 984 given up this season. The Spurs are conceding a field goal percentage of 46.2% (1,536 of 3,326) and allow 42.5 rebounds per game. Opponents make 36.1% of their three-point attempts against them, and they rank 7th in points allowed per game (113.3).

In their most recent game, the Timberwolves emerged victorious, defeating the Cavaliers 131-122. They collected 35 defensive rebounds along with 10 offensive boards for a total of 45. Minnesota turned the ball over 17 times but managed 8 steals during the contest. Cleveland committed 17 fouls, sending the Timberwolves to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 9 for a conversion rate of 52.9%. From beyond the arc, Minnesota shot 20 of 38, hitting 52.6%, and boasted an overall shooting percentage of 57.3% by converting 51 of 89 attempts from the floor. The Timberwolves allowed the Cavaliers to connect on 48 of their 91 attempts for a shooting percentage of 52.7%. Cleveland shot 33.3% from three-point range and finished 15 out of 21 at the free-throw line (71.4%). Minnesota allowed Cleveland to grab a total of 38 rebounds, including 9 offensively.

Julius Randle was a key contributor for the Timberwolves, hitting 10 out of 21 shots for a shooting percentage of 47.6%, alongside 11 rebounds. He tallied 28 points over 35 minutes of play, adding 8 assists in the mix.

Minnesota currently holds a record of 25-13 this season. The Timberwolves commit 21.7 personal fouls per game and shoot 75.8% from the charity stripe. Their assist average is 26.8 per game (12th in the league), while their turnover average stands at 14.3. This season, they have accumulated a total of 4,557 points, averaging 119.9 points per game, and secure 44.8 rebounds per game. Offensive execution has led the Timberwolves to a shooting percentage of 48.2% from the floor, ranking 6th in the NBA.

Defensively, the Timberwolves rank 10th in points allowed per game at 114.3. They force 15.1 turnovers each game and allow opponents to shoot 45.8% from the floor (4th in the NBA). Minnesota concedes 35.0% on three-point attempts (466 of 1,332), and teams are connecting on 78.6% of their free-throw shots against them. They allow an average of 25.6 assists and 43.5 rebounds per game, placing them 10th and 12th in the NBA, respectively.

Who will prevail in tonight’s NBA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back San Antonio

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Pick: San Antonio Spurs
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