- Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs Duke Blue Devils
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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The Virginia Cavaliers (25-3) are set to visit Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday to clash with the Duke Blue Devils (26-2).
The Virginia Cavaliers recently faced off against North Carolina State, securing a commanding victory with a score of 90-61. In terms of fouls, Virginia committed 15 while North Carolina State had 14. Virginia managed to sink 9 out of their 33 three-point attempts. North Carolina State shot 80.0% from the free throw line, hitting 12 of 15. The opposition recorded a total of 30 rebounds (12 offensive, 18 defensive) but did not block any shots. North Carolina State also made 14 assists and stole the ball 8 times. On the defensive front, Virginia allowed just 29.4% shooting from the field (20 of 68). They also registered 17 assists, induced 10 turnovers, and had 7 steals. In rebounding, Virginia collected 37 total boards, with 6 being offensive. From the free throw line, the Cavaliers hit 16 of 18 attempts, for an impressive 88.9% success rate. They concluded the game with a 53.4% shooting percentage from the field (31 of 58), including 12 of 26 from beyond the arc.
Thijs De Ridder was pivotal in the Cavaliers’ victory, shooting at an impressive 70.0% from the field with 2 assists. He logged 26 minutes, grabbed 4 rebounds, and totalled 19 points on 7 of 10 shooting.
Virginia enters this matchup with a solid record of 25-3 for the season. They average 10.9 turnovers per game and commit 18.0 fouls on average. The Cavaliers are strong on the boards, averaging 41.3 rebounds per game, and rank 49th nationally with a total of 475 assists this season. Their three-point shooting stands at 36.3% (287 of 790) while they maintain a 71.1% accuracy from the free throw line. Virginia is averaging 82.3 points per game, which ranks 55th in Division 1, while shooting 46.8% from the field.
Defensively, the Cavaliers generate an average of 11.0 turnovers per game while committing 18.0 fouls. They rank 39th nationally by allowing 323 assists throughout the year. Virginia’s defense permits opponents to shoot at 39.3% (651 of 1,655) and allows 32.5 rebounds per game, ranking them among the top teams in the country in terms of points allowed per game (67.8).
In their most recent game, the Duke Blue Devils emerged victorious against Notre Dame, winning decisively by a score of 100-56. Duke allowed Notre Dame 26 rebounds (5 offensive). The Blue Devils finished shooting 26.9% from the three-point line, making 7 of 26 attempts, and shot 57.9% from the free throw line (11 of 19). Notre Dame managed to convert 19 of 52 attempts from the field, yielding a shooting percentage of 36.5%. Ultimately, Duke shot 45.8% after hitting 27 of 59 shots, including 36.4% from beyond the arc (12 of 33). The Blue Devils had 38 free throw attempts as Notre Dame committed 21 fouls, converting 34 for a robust 89.5% success rate. Duke had 8 turnovers in the game while securing 11 steals and 33 defensive rebounds along with 14 offensive boards, totaling 47 overall.
Cameron Boozer was exceptional for the Blue Devils, scoring 24 points on 62.5% shooting (5 of 8) while pulling down 13 rebounds and dishing out 2 assists in just 24 minutes of play.
Duke holds a record of 26-2 this season, averaging 15.7 personal fouls per game and shooting 72.5% from the free throw line. With 17.1 assists per game (32nd nationally), they average 10.7 turnovers each game. The Blue Devils have accrued 2,325 points this season, averaging 83.0 points per game, and pull down 40.0 rebounds on average. Offensively, Duke’s field goal percentage stands at 49.8%, placing them 18th in Division 1.
Defensively, Duke ranks 3rd in the nation for points allowed per game, at 62.9. They force 12.8 turnovers every game while allowing opponents to shoot 39.2% from the field (10th in D-1). The Blue Devils permit 30.6% shooting from three-point range (224 of 732) and see opposing teams converting 70.1% of their free throw attempts. They rank 58th in assists allowed per game (11.8) and 12th in total rebounds allowed (29.6).
Who will prevail in this NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Back Duke to cover the spread.
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