- Matchup: Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
- Broadcast: SEC Network
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The Missouri Tigers (19-9) are set to travel to Humphrey Coliseum this Saturday to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15).
The Missouri Tigers recently secured victory against Tennessee, winning 73-69. They showcased a shooting percentage of 47.3% (26 of 55) and managed 4 of 17 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, Missouri converted 17 of their 22 attempts, yielding a 77.3% success rate. In terms of rebounding, they accumulated 27 total boards, with 6 offensive. The Tigers also delivered 9 assists, forced the opposition into 14 turnovers, and made 9 steals. Defensively, Missouri permitted the Volunteers to shoot 42.9% (27 of 63), while Tennessee secured 38 rebounds (17 offensive, 21 defensive) without recording any blocks. Tennessee’s three-point shooting was at 29.2%, making 7 of 24 attempts, and they had a free-throw percentage of 57.1% with 8 out of 14 successful. Missouri committed 13 fouls, while the Volunteers tallied 14.
A standout player for Missouri was T.O. Barrett, who racked up 28 points with an impressive 70.6% shooting accuracy (12 of 17). He played 36 minutes, contributed 5 rebounds, and dished out 2 assists.
This season, Missouri boasts a record of 19-9. The Tigers are averaging 80.0 points per game (90th in D-1) and are shooting an impressive 49.2% from the field. They have a three-point shooting rate of 35.0% (203 of 580) and a free-throw percentage of 68.4%. On average, Missouri collects 35.9 rebounds per game and has made 409 assists this season, ranking 155th in collegiate basketball for assists. They commit approximately 12.1 turnovers and average 17.6 personal fouls per game.
On the defensive side, the Tigers force an average of 11.1 turnovers and draw 18.8 fouls each game. They rank 117th in D-1 for allowed assists, having given up 364 this season. Opponents shoot 42.5% against them (700 of 1,648), and Missouri allows 32.4 rebounds per game, conceding 36.2% on three-point attempts. They rank 220th in terms of points per game allowed, averaging 75.0.
In their last outing, the Mississippi State Bulldogs faced Alabama, suffering a defeat with a score of 100-75. They managed to secure 33 total rebounds (23 defensive and 10 offensive), committed 12 turnovers, and garnered 8 steals during the game. Alabama committed 11 personal fouls, allowing the Bulldogs 12 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 6, achieving a 50.0% success rate. Mississippi State shot 38.0% from the floor, going 27 for 71, and 36.6% from deep, hitting 15 of 41 attempts. On the defensive end, they allowed Alabama to shoot 47.9% from the floor (34 of 71) and 44.0% from three-point range (22 of 50), along with granting Alabama 47 total rebounds (15 offensive).
Achor Achor was a notable contributor for the Bulldogs, scoring 18 points on 7 of 14 shooting (50.0%) and grabbing 7 rebounds, all in just 24 minutes without recording any assists.
This season, Mississippi State holds a record of 13-15. Offensively, the Bulldogs are shooting at 44.6%, placing them 219th nationally. They have scored a total of 2,189 points (approximately 78.2 per game) and average 39.3 rebounds. Their assist average stands at 12.9 per game (259th in college), while they average 11.2 turnovers. The Bulldogs commit around 16.3 personal fouls per game and have a free-throw shooting percentage of 67.0%.
Defensively, Mississippi State concedes 32.6% on three-point attempts (234 of 718) and allows opponents to connect on 75.2% of their free throws. They permit an average of 14.5 assists and 38.3 rebounds per game, ranking 270th and 347th respectively in college basketball. The Bulldogs are rated 330th in points allowed per game, giving up 80.0. They force an average of 9.3 turnovers and allow opponents to shoot 43.4% from the field (131st in D-1).
Who will claim victory in this NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Go with Missouri
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