- Matchup: Tarleton State Texans vs California Baptist Lancers
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Venue: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center, Riverside, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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The Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center will host an exciting matchup as the California Baptist Lancers (20-8) aim to take down the Tarleton State Texans (14-15) on Saturday.
In their previous game, the Tarleton State Texans faced off against Utah Valley and suffered a 79-72 defeat. In the foul department, the Texans recorded 19 fouls while Utah Valley notched 17. Tarleton managed to convert 4 of 16 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, Utah Valley shot 67.9%, making 19 of 28. Utah Valley secured 34 rebounds (8 offensive and 26 defensive) but didn’t record any blocks. They also dished out 19 assists and had 6 steals. On the defensive end, Tarleton allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the field with a 28 of 56 shooting performance. The Texans registered 17 assists, forced 9 turnovers, and secured 8 steals, while dominating the boards with 38 rebounds (15 offensive). At the free-throw line, Tarleton went 10 of 16, achieving a 62.5% conversion rate, finishing the game with a 40.9% shooting percentage (27 out of 66) and hitting 8 of 15 three-point attempts.
Dior Johnson stood out in this game, contributing 23 points on 8 of 20 shooting, and also grabbed 7 rebounds in his 30 minutes on the court, finishing with a shooting percentage of 40.0% along with 4 assists.
With a season record of 14-15, Tarleton State averages 75.2 points per game (ranking 202nd in Division 1) while shooting 45.5% from the field. The Texans are hitting 32.1% of their attempts from beyond the arc (136 of 424) and 75.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Tarleton State secures 32.8 rebounds per game and has accumulated 331 assists this season, placing them 334th in Division 1 for ball distribution. They average 14.4 turnovers per game and commit approximately 19.7 personal fouls nightly.
On the defensive end, the Texans induce 18.0 turnovers per game while garnering 19.4 personal fouls. They concede 34.4% on opponent three-point shots and rank 156th in college basketball, allowing 73.0 points per game. Their defense allows a field goal percentage of 44.9% (701 of 1,560) and they give up an average of 34.6 boards per game as a unit. In the assist category, they rank 204th, having surrendered 390 assists throughout the year.
In their last game, the California Baptist Lancers triumphed over UT Arlington, finishing with a score of 68-56. On the glass, California Baptist allowed UT Arlington to gather 37 rebounds (13 offensive). The Lancers struggled from three-point range, making only 3 of 18 attempts (16.7%), while connecting on 11 of 16 free throws (68.8%). Defensively, they permitted UT Arlington to shoot 21 of 60 (35.0%) from the field. California Baptist went 26 of 57 in field goal attempts for a 45.6% conversion rate, making 8 of 20 from beyond the arc, and hitting 8 of 11 free throw attempts for a 72.7% efficiency. UT Arlington accumulated 13 fouls during the game, resulting in 11 free throw opportunities for the Lancers. The game also saw California Baptist with 8 rebounds on the offensive end and 24 on the defensive side, totaling 32 overall.
Dominique Daniels Jr. was a key player for the Lancers, contributing 28 points in 39 minutes of play. He also made 4 assists and shot 50.0% from the field, with 11 of 22 shots going in along with 3 rebounds.
California Baptist holds a season record of 20-8. The Lancers commit an average of 18.6 personal fouls per game and convert 71.8% from the free-throw line. Their assist turnover ratio stands at 10.4 assists per game (362nd in college basketball) while averaging 12.4 turnovers. This season, California Baptist has recorded a total of 2,010 points (71.8 points per game) and grabs 40.6 rebounds per game. Offensively, they are shooting at 42.3% from the field, placing them 320th in Division 1.
Defensively, California Baptist ranks 45th in college basketball for points allowed per game, giving up 68.1 on average. They force their opponents into 11.1 turnovers per game and allow an opponent shooting percentage of 41.6% (57th in college). The Lancers limit opponents to 29.7% shooting from beyond the arc (155 of 522) and allow 72.7% from the free-throw line. They surrender an average of 11.0 assists and 32.9 total rebounds per game, ranking 28th and 80th in Division 1, respectively.
Who do you think will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?
Prediction: Take Tarleton State
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