- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres
- Scheduled Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcasting: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: Detroit (+110), San Diego (-130)
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This matchup features the San Diego Padres (90-72 last season) facing off against the Detroit Tigers (87-75 last year) at Petco Park. Betting odds position the Tigers at +110, while the Padres stand at -130. The total runs over/under is set at 9, with Tarik Skubal and Nick Pivetta taking the mound for their respective teams.
Last season, the Detroit Tigers averaged 4.7 runs per game, ranking 11th in the league. They managed a total of 758 runs with an on-base percentage of .316. The Tigers recorded 244 doubles and hit 198 home runs, while accumulating 724 RBIs alongside 1,346 hits, yielding a batting average of .247. Their slugging percentage stood at .413, with the team striking out 1,454 times and drawing 511 walks.
Detroit’s pitching unit posted a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.84 and a combined WHIP of 1.25. The staff allowed 187 home runs and a total of 691 runs (16th in MLB). The Tigers gave up 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. With an ERA of 3.95, they finished 16th among MLB teams, striking out 1,375 batters while issuing 485 walks. Their FIP was recorded at 4.05.
The bullpen achieved a save percentage of 64.5%, entering 142 save situations. They inherited 258 baserunners, allowing 28.7% to score. The Tigers’ pitchers faced baserunners 182 times, and had 140 high leverage appearances, using 508 relievers throughout the season. The relief squad secured 75 holds (26th in MLB) while achieving 40 saves, failing 22 of their 62 save opportunities.
The Colorado Rockies registered 4,309 putouts, 1,379 assists, and 79 errors last season, boasting a fielding percentage of .981, ranked 29th in the league, with 128 double plays. The Tigers converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs in 12,927 innings, placing them 13th in MLB.
Skubal has logged 766 innings in his MLB career, achieving 889 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.08 (allowing 262 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.026. He has conceded 614 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) while walking 172 batters. With a career record of 54-37, Skubal holds a FIP of 3.03, having faced 3,056 hitters.
On the other hand, the San Diego Padres finished with a .321 OBP and a .252 batting average last season. They struck out 1,161 times (28th in MLB) and notched 1,369 hits. The Padres recorded 152 home runs and 663 RBIs, averaging 4.33 runs per game (18th in the league). They achieved a team slugging percentage of .390, notching 254 doubles, drawing 510 walks, and scoring 702 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Padres registered a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 4.02, ranking first in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,197. They gave up 621 runs with an ERA of 3.63 (578 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stood at 8.90, with 1,425 strikeouts against 535 walks. The Padres allowed 178 home runs and surrendered 3.90 runs per 9 innings, ranking 2nd in the league.
The Padres’ bullpen had a 29.3% inherited scoring rate from 263 runners. They entered 209 high leverage situations and dealt with runners on base 185 times. Accumulating 174 save situations, they achieved 104 holds alongside 16 blown saves. They led the league with a 75.4% save success rate, having called upon their bullpen 577 times last year, finishing with 49 saves from 65 opportunities.
San Diego totaled 117 double plays with a fielding percentage of .987, placing them 9th in the majors. They had 1,234 assists, 74 errors, and 4,299 putouts throughout the previous year. Their defensive efficiency stood at 71.7%, ranking 3rd in professional baseball in 12,897 innings.
Pivetta, with a career mark of 69-76, holds an ERA of 4.48 and concedes 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.11, having faced 5,107 opponents in his professional career. He has allowed 602 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 4.4, giving up 1,107 hits while tallying 1,329 strikeouts in 1,210 innings.
Who do you think will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back San Diego (-130)
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