- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Texas (+162) Philadelphia (-196)
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The Texas Rangers, who finished last season at 81-81, will visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday to challenge the Philadelphia Phillies, who ended at 96-66. Current betting odds place the Rangers at +162 and the Phillies at -196. The over/under is set at 9 runs, with ace pitchers Jacob deGrom and Aaron Nola taking the mound.

Last year, the Rangers hit 245 doubles and launched 175 homers. They posted a slugging percentage of .381, striking out 1,327 times and drawing 486 walks. The Rangers averaged 4.2 runs per game, ranking 22nd in the league, with 658 RBIs and 1,275 hits, leading to a team batting average of .234. Overall, they scored 684 runs and maintained an on-base percentage of .302.
The Rangers finished the last season with an impressive team ERA of 3.47, ranking first in the league while striking out 1,344 batters. They allowed 172 home runs and gave up a total of 605 runs—again first in the league. Texas pitchers walked 463 batters with a FIP of 3.89. They conceded 1,235 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings, and saw 557 earned runs cross the plate. Their K/BB ratio stood at 2.90, with a team WHIP of 1.18.
Throughout the last season, the Rangers deployed 523 relief pitchers. They inherited 260 base runners with a 28.1% score conversion rate. With 37 saves, they missed 29 of 66 save opportunities, resulting in a 56.1% save rate from 151 situations. The bullpen recorded 80 holds, ranking 23rd in the league. Relief pitchers faced runners 184 times and dealt with high-leverage situations in 180 games.
In the field, the Texas Rangers achieved 4,329 putouts, 1,364 assists, and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage was an outstanding .991, placing them first in MLB, as they executed 122 double plays. The Rangers turned 72.0% of balls put into play into outs during their 12,987 innings on the field, once again ranking first in professional baseball.
Jacob deGrom, with a career record of 96-65, holds a FIP of 2.53 after facing 6,045 hitters. He has allowed 1,173 hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and issued 345 walks. His ERA stands at 2.57, having allowed 440 earned runs, with a WHIP of 0.986. To date, he has pitched for 1,539 innings, tallying 1,851 strikeouts in his career.
On the other side, the Philadelphia Phillies posted an on-base percentage of .328 along with a batting average of .258 last season. They struck out 1,337 times (19th in MLB) and recorded 1,426 hits. The team hit 212 home runs, accumulating 753 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .431 and an average of 4.80 runs per game, placing them 8th in the league. Additionally, they secured 268 doubles, drew 528 walks, and scored a total of 778 runs.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 648 runs, concluding with an ERA of 3.79 (607 earned runs). They permitted 177 home runs and averaged 4.05 runs allowed per 9 innings, ranking 5th in MLB. The team WHIP was 1.234, and they finished with a FIP of 3.71. Their K/BB ratio was an impressive 9.20, with 1,471 strikeouts and 435 walks. The team ranked 19th in total hits allowed with 1,342.
The Phillies’ bullpen inherited 151 base runners, converting 31.8% into scores. They faced high-leverage situations 179 times and tackled 106 scenarios with runners on base. Closing the year, they had 160 save situations, recording 83 holds and 27 blown saves. Their save rate of 63.5% positioned them 17th in MLB, deploying 506 relief pitchers. They converted 47 out of 74 save opportunities.
Fielding-wise, the Philadelphia Phillies executed 105 double plays, achieving a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 5th in MLB with 1,383 assists, 62 errors, and 4,321 putouts. Their defensive efficiency during 12,963 innings was recorded at 69.1%, placing them 21st in the league.
Aaron Nola has allowed 1,522 hits throughout his career, accumulating 1,876 strikeouts in 1,715 innings. He has conceded 730 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.149 and a FIP of 3.8. With a K/BB ratio of 4.18, he has faced 7,039 batters and holds a career record of 109-89 with an ERA of 3.83, giving up 8.0 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB encounter against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Texas (+162)
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