- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Boston (-144) Cincinnati (+120)
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The Cincinnati Reds (83-79 last season) are set to challenge the Boston Red Sox (89-73 last season) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The betting line lists the Red Sox at -144, while the Reds are at +120. With a total set at 8.5, the starting pitchers for this match are Sonny Gray and Brady Singer.
Last season, the Boston Red Sox recorded a slugging percentage of .421 and faced 1,419 strikeouts while drawing 518 walks. They totaled 748 RBIs and landed 1,414 hits with a batting average of .254. As a team, they achieved 324 doubles and launched 186 home runs, scoring 786 runs with an on-base percentage of .324. Overall, the Red Sox averaged 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in Major League Baseball.
In terms of pitching, the Red Sox posted a team ERA of 3.70 last season, ranking fourth in the league. Their pitchers accumulated 1,361 strikeouts while allowing 164 home runs and 676 runs total (10th in MLB). They issued 530 walks, resulting in a FIP of 3.98. Throughout the season, Boston allowed 1,333 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and surrendered 596 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.29.
Boston’s relief pitchers had a save rate of 61.6%, participating in 161 save situations. They inherited 223 runners, with 33.2% scoring. The bullpen faced runners on base during 160 appearances and had 192 high leverage games. Last season, the Red Sox utilized 536 relief pitchers, achieving 86 holds (19th in MLB) and 45 saves, missing 28 of 73 save opportunities.
In the field, the Red Sox converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs over their 13,035 innings, which placed them 22nd in the major leagues. The Orioles maintained 4,345 putouts with 1,461 assists last season, recording a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 19th in MLB, along with 131 double plays.
Sonny Gray, with a career record of 125-102, has a FIP of 3.53 and has faced 7,952 batters in his career. He has allowed 1,675 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and issues 621 walks. His earned run average stands at 3.58 with a WHIP of 1.198, having pitched 1,917 innings and striking out 1,925 batters.
The Cincinnati Reds finished last season with a team slugging percentage of .391, averaging 4.42 runs per game (ranked 14th in MLB). They achieved 250 doubles, received 527 walks, and scored 716 runs, including 167 home runs and 677 RBIs. Their batting average was .245 with an on-base percentage of .315, striking out 1,415 times (9th in MLB) and accumulating 1,333 hits.
On the pitching front, the Reds allowed 681 runs last season, with an ERA of 3.86 (616 earned runs). They gave up 190 home runs and averaged 4.27 runs allowed per 9 innings (12th in MLB). Their team WHIP was 1.222, with a FIP of 4.11 and a K/BB ratio of 8.70, accumulating 1,380 strikeouts against 494 walks while ranking 7th in total hits allowed (1,260).
Cincinnati called upon relief pitchers in 63 save situations, successfully converting 41 saves, ranking 9th in MLB with a save rate of 65.1%. They utilized 550 relief pitchers and faced high-leverage scenarios 172 times, with 148 occurrences involving runners on base. Their bullpen boasted a 31.8% inherited run score percentage among 217 inherited runners. The Reds completed 170 save opportunities, resulting in 104 holds and 22 blown saves.
Throughout their 12,915 innings, the Reds recorded a defensive efficiency of 71.1%, ranking 4th in the league. They turned 101 double plays and registered a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB), with 1,239 assists, 87 errors, and 4,305 putouts.
In his tenure, Brady Singer has permitted 845 hits, striking out 808 batters over 854 innings. With a career mark of 50-56, he maintains an ERA of 4.24, allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings, having surrendered 402 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.310, and a FIP of 4.2. He has faced 3,650 opponents thus far in his career.
Which team will secure victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Support Cincinnati (+120)
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