Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-122), Washington (+102)
On Sunday, Nationals Park will host the matchup between the Washington Nationals (49-72) and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-52). The odds for this game have the Phillies favored at -122, while the Nationals sit at +102. The over/under total is set at 8.5 runs, featuring pitchers Aaron Nola and Mitchell Parker on the hill.
The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded a slugging percentage of .414 with 979 strikeouts and 397 walks. They have driven in 535 runs and accumulated 1,039 hits on the season, boasting a batting average of .253. The team has hit 200 doubles and 143 home runs, scoring a total of 558 runs with an on-base percentage of .323. The Phillies average 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 9th in Major League Baseball.
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The Phillies maintain a K/BB ratio of 3.36 with a collective WHIP of 1.23. Their pitchers have allowed 132 home runs and 479 runs this season (5th in the league). Philadelphia’s staff has given up 1,000 hits (approximately 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 446 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.73 (6th in MLB) with 1,099 strikeouts. The bullpen has walked 327 batters and sports a FIP of 3.68.
The bullpen has faced runners in scoring position 76 times, with 121 high-leverage appearances this season. Phillies relievers have recorded 56 holds (ranked 24th in the league) and have a save rate of 64.0%, converting 32 of 50 save opportunities. They have inherited 112 base runners, with 33.0% of them scoring. This season, the Phillies have sent 368 relievers to the mound.
Defensively, the Phillies have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs across 9,678 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. They’ve totaled 3,226 putouts, 1,047 assists, and 45 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in professional baseball) with 77 double plays completed.
Nola has pitched 1,670 innings over his career, striking out 1,831 batters. With a career record of 105-86, his FIP stands at 3.72, having faced 6,855 batters. Nola’s earned run average is 3.78 (701 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.149, allowing 1,482 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 437 walks.
The Washington Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .388 and score 4.28 runs per game (20th in the league). They’ve hit 198 doubles, drawn 350 walks, and scored 518 runs, with 116 home runs and 499 RBIs. Their strikeouts total 949 (23rd in baseball), and they have 992 hits this season, with a batting average of .244 and OBP of .309.
As a pitching unit, the Nationals have a WHIP of 1.445 and a FIP of 4.55. They rank 29th in total hits allowed, giving up 1,127 hits and 665 runs this season, culminating in a team ERA of 5.33 (629 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is at 7.80 (919 strikeouts to 408 walks), with 149 home runs permitted and an average of 5.64 runs allowed per 9 innings (29th in the league).
The Nationals have found themselves in 88 save situations this season, achieving 49 holds and experiencing 15 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 38 save opportunities, successfully notching 23 saves. They have been called upon in 93 high-leverage moments and faced base runners 125 times, with an inherited scoring rate of 39.9% from 213 inherited base runners. Ranking 18th in the league, they have a save percentage of 60.5%, with 426 relief pitchers used this year.
Across 9,561 innings, the Nationals’ defensive efficiency stands at 67.7% (29th in MLB). They’ve executed 95 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball), accumulating 1,039 assists, 63 errors, and 3,187 putouts throughout the season.
In his MLB career, Parker has allowed 292 hits while striking out 217 batters in 279 innings. With a career mark of 14-23, he holds a 4.87 ERA, allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings with 151 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.376, and his FIP is 4.8. He has faced 1,213 batters in his career with a K/BB ratio of 2.36.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Take Washington (+102)
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