Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros
Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+220) Houston (-275)
At Daikin Park, the Houston Astros (68-53) are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (55-66) this Sunday. The betting odds for this matchup show the Orioles at +220 and the Astros at -275, with a total over/under line of 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers for this game will be Dean Kremer and Cristian Javier.
The Orioles currently possess a slugging percentage of .403, having struck out 1,042 times and earned 331 walks this season. They have managed 485 runs batted in along with 963 hits, resulting in a batting average of .239. As a team, the Orioles have hit 197 doubles and 145 home runs, tallying 514 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage (OBP) of .304. Averaging 4.3 runs per game places them at 21st in the league standings.
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The Orioles’ pitching staff holds a team ERA of 4.79, ranking 27th in MLB, with 988 strikeouts recorded this season. They have surrendered 165 home runs and allowed a total of 600 runs (26th in baseball). The pitcher’s walks sum up to 392, with a collective FIP of 4.49. Throughout the year, they have given up 1,093 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) along with 565 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.52, with a combined WHIP of 1.40.
Baltimore’s bullpen has entered games with runners on base 120 times and has faced 123 high leverage situations. With 83 holds this season (ranked 4th in the league), they have a save rate of 64.4%, having entered 131 save situations and converting 29 saves, while failing to finalize 16 of 45. The relievers have inherited 163 runners, with a scoring percentage of 23.3%. To date, the Orioles have utilized 409 relief pitchers throughout the season.
This season, the Orioles have converted 68.1% of balls put in play into outs across 9,561 innings, landing them at 28th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have tallied 3,187 putouts, 1,050 assists, and 61 errors, boasting a .986 fielding rate that ranks 19th in professional baseball, while turning 86 double plays.
Kremer (career record 38-39) has a FIP of 4.20, having faced 2,709 batters in the majors. He has allowed 621 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 213 walks. With a year-to-date ERA of 4.26 (303 earned runs), his WHIP is 1.303, completing 640 innings with 552 strikeouts recorded throughout his career.
The Astros have logged 135 home runs and achieved 502 runs batted in this season. They’ve accumulated 189 doubles while earning 352 walks and scoring a total of 525 runs. Houston carries an OBP of .322 along with a batting average of .258. Their team slugging percentage stands at .408, with an average of 4.34 runs per game, putting them at 16th in the league. They have struck out 942 times (26th in MLB) and recorded 1,057 hits.
As a staff, the Astros have a WHIP of 1.203 and a FIP of 3.84. They rank 5th in overall hits allowed, with 928. They’ve surrendered 142 home runs and yield 4.01 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). With an ERA of 3.76, they have given up 480 runs this season (450 earned runs).
Houston’s relievers have been called upon in 48 save opportunities, successfully completing 36 saves, which ranks them 1st in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%. This year, they’ve deployed 377 relievers, with their bullpen seeing action in 119 high leverage situations and 89 times with runners on base. Their inherited runner score percentage stands at 26.4% of the 121 inherited base runners. The Astros have amassed 72 holds and recorded 12 blown saves in 122 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Houston Astros have turned 76 double plays and hold a .988 fielding percentage (6th in baseball). This season, they have registered 946 assists, made 49 errors, and achieved 3,228 putouts across 9,684 innings, with a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (11th in professional baseball).
Javier has permitted 368 base hits in his career, striking out 569 batters in 506 innings. Holding a career record of 34-18, he has maintained a 3.59 earned run average with 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 202 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.134 and a FIP of 3.5. Javier has faced 2,079 hitters thus far in his MLB journey.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Choose Baltimore (+220)
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