Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: St. Louis (-152) Miami (+126)
The Miami Marlins (59-66) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (62-64) at loanDepot park this Wednesday. According to the moneyline, the Cardinals are favored at -152, while the Marlins are at +126. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers are Andre Pallante and Sandy Alcantara.
This season, the Cardinals have hit 213 doubles and launched 120 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .387, St. Louis has recorded 982 strikeouts and drawn 385 walks. The team’s average of 4.4 runs per game places them at 17th in the majors. To date, they have accumulated 523 RBIs and 1,057 hits with a batting average of .249. Overall, the Cardinals have scored 549 runs and possess an on-base percentage (OBP) of .318.
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This season, the Cardinals have a team ERA of 4.24, ranking 21st in the league, with 918 strikeouts recorded. They have surrendered 124 home runs and a total of 574 runs (23rd in the majors). Their pitching staff has issued 337 walks, holding a FIP of 3.91. St. Louis has allowed 1,102 hits (8.9 per 9 innings), resulting in 525 earned runs and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.72, with a WHIP of 1.29.
Throughout the season, the Cardinals have utilized 373 relief pitchers. These relievers have inherited 163 base runners; 33.1% have scored. They have managed 30 saves but failed to convert 17 of 47 save opportunities. Their save percentage stands at 63.8%, participating in 118 save situations. The bullpen has recorded 68 holds (18th in the league) and has entered games with players on base 120 times, alongside 119 high-leverage appearances.
On defense, the Cardinals have documented 3,341 putouts, 1,206 assists, and 59 errors this season, achieving a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in the majors) and executing 96 double plays. They convert 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs over 10,023 innings, ranking 20th overall in professional baseball.
Pallante, with a career record of 24-24, has a FIP of 4.11 and has faced 1,823 hitters in the big leagues. He has allowed 433 hits (averaging 9.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 162 walks. Pallante’s ERA is 4.17, with a WHIP of 1.399, having pitched for 425 innings while striking out 298 batters in his career.
The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .397 and score 4.31 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have recorded 210 doubles, 376 walks, and a total of 539 runs. Over the season, Miami has hit 123 home runs and secured 517 RBIs, though they’ve struck out 978 times (25th in the league) and accumulated 1,072 hits. Their team OBP is .315, with a batting average of .251 this year.
As a pitching staff, Miami’s WHIP is 1.301, with a FIP of 4.15. They rank 22nd in MLB for hits allowed, with 1,053 total. The Marlins have conceded 602 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.55 with 559 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00 (985 strikeouts vs. 386 walks), and they have allowed 137 home runs while giving up an average of 4.90 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).
In 116 save chances, the Marlins have achieved 66 holds and blown 19 saves. Their bullpen has managed 30 saves from 49 save opportunities. They have participated in 132 high-leverage situations and have appeared 93 times with base runners present. Miami’s inherited runner scoring percentage is 31.2% from 138 inherited runners, resulting in a save rate of 61.2%, placing them 19th in the league with 385 bullpen pitchers used this season.
Over the course of 9,957 innings, the Marlins have an efficiency rating of 69.8% (15th in MLB). Their defense consists of 84 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in pro baseball). Miami has tallied 1,063 assists, 62 errors, and a total of 3,319 putouts this season.
Alcantara, with a career win-loss record of 47-66, has an ERA of 3.69, allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.76, having faced 4,237 opposing hitters in his career. He has allowed 421 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.189 and a FIP of 3.6. Therefore, Alcantara has conceded 900 hits while tallying 886 strikeouts over 1,027 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in this MLB showdown, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Select St. Louis (-152)
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