Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Event Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: DBACKS.TV
Betting Odds: Cincinnati (-145) Arizona (+125)
On Saturday, the Arizona Diamondbacks (62-66) will face off against the Cincinnati Reds (67-61) at Chase Field. The moneyline for this matchup is set with the Reds at -145 and the Diamondbacks at +125. The game has an over/under total of 8.5 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers include Andrew Abbott and Nabil Crismatt.
The Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 11th in the league. They have scored a total of 574 runs with an on-base percentage of .318. This season, the Reds have hit 199 doubles and launched 126 home runs. They have amassed 541 RBIs and 1,049 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .247. Cincinnati’s slugging percentage stands at .392, with the team striking out 1,090 times, while drawing 411 walks.
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The Reds currently hold a team ERA of 3.80, placing them 9th in MLB. With a total of 1,041 strikeouts by their pitching staff, the Reds have allowed 138 home runs and a total of 522 runs (11th in the league). They’ve walked 395 batters, and their FIP for the season is registered at 4.05. Cincinnati has conceded 986 hits, averaging 8.0 per 9 innings, along with 471 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.64, accompanied by a WHIP of 1.24.
Reds relief pitchers have entered in high-leverage situations 124 times, with 82 holds this season (6th in the league). Having a save rate of 63.8%, they have been involved in 131 save opportunities, successfully converting 30. However, they missed 17 of 47 save tries. This year, the bullpen has inherited 173 runners, with 31.8% scoring during their tenure. The Reds have utilized 429 relief pitchers so far this season.
Defensively, the Reds have recorded an impressive 71.1% outs from balls in play across 10,050 innings, ranking 5th in Major League Baseball. The Chicago White Sox, in contrast, have recorded 3,350 putouts this season, with 977 assists and 68 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985, ranked 21st in MLB, along with 80 double plays.
Andrew Abbott (career record 26-19) has a FIP of 3.22 after facing 1,568 batters in the majors. He has allowed 332 hits (7.9 per nine innings) with 131 walks. Abbott’s ERA sits at 3.27, having given up 137 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.228. Over 377 innings, he has recorded 346 strikeouts throughout his MLB career.
The Arizona Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have achieved a team on-base percentage of .326 alongside a batting average of .250 this season. They rank 21st in MLB with 999 strikeouts and have racked up 1,068 hits. Arizona has hit 176 homers and collected 604 RBIs. They average 4.91 runs per game (6th in MLB) and have registered 220 doubles, received 435 walks, and scored a total of 619 runs.
On the pitching side, the Diamondbacks have given up 616 runs at an ERA of 4.57. Having surrendered 156 home runs, their staff allows 4.95 runs per 9 innings, ranking 25th in the league. They carry a team WHIP of 1.336 and a FIP of 4.31 this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (1,012 strikeouts to 392 walks), and they rank 26th in total hits allowed with 1,103.
The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has been called into action 57 times for saves, converting 33, which ranks them 23rd in save percentage at 57.9%. Altogether, they have used 381 relief pitchers this year. Their relievers have appeared in high-leverage situations 115 times, encountering base runners 103 times, with an inherited score rate of 32.6% on 132 inherited runners. In terms of save opportunities, they’ve recorded 62 holds and suffered 24 blown saves.
Arizona has turned 96 double plays and has a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in professional baseball). With 1,117 assists, 63 errors, and 3,357 putouts throughout the season, their defensive efficiency is 69.1% over the 10,071 innings played, placing them 23rd in professional baseball.
Nabil Crismatt has yielded 179 hits in his MLB career while accumulating 167 strikeouts over 182 innings pitched. He has allowed 74 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 3.04, having faced 772 batters in his career. With a career record of 9-6, Crismatt boasts an ERA of 3.66 with 8.9 hits allowed per 9 innings.
Will the outcome of tonight’s MLB game favor the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction from Parlay’s Pundit: Opt for Arizona (+125) and under 8.5 total runs
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