Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres Prediction for 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres Prediction for 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Broadcast: Padres.TV

Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-150) San Diego (+125)

This Saturday, Petco Park will host an exciting matchup as the San Diego Padres (71-56) face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-55). The moneyline favors the Dodgers at -150, while the Padres sit at +125, with a total set at 9 runs. Starters expected for this game are Tyler Glasnow and Nestor Cortes.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are currently scoring an impressive average of 5.1 runs per game, placing them 2nd in the league. With a total of 643 runs, the team boasts an on-base percentage (OBP) of .330. The Dodgers have accumulated 198 doubles and hit 185 home runs, totaling 620 RBIs from 1,071 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .253. Their slugging percentage stands at .438, although they have struck out 1,065 times and drawn 464 walks throughout the season.

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The Dodgers currently hold an earned run average (ERA) of 4.12 this season, ranking 18th in the league, while their pitchers have struck out a total of 1,109 batters. So far, they’ve allowed 149 home runs and 556 runs overall (19th in MLB). With 430 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.18 for the year. The team has conceded 1,020 hits (averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 509 earned runs, holding a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.30.

This season, the Dodgers have utilized 452 relief pitchers. Their bullpen players have inherited 187 runners, with 25.1% of them scoring. They’ve successfully converted 36 saves out of 57 opportunities, reflecting a 63.2% save percentage through 161 save situations. Leading the league with 100 holds, the relief pitchers have also entered 118 times with runners on base and tallied 144 high-pressure appearances.

The Dodgers have converted 69.8% of balls put in play into outs over their 10,005 innings, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. The Los Angeles defense has recorded 3,335 putouts, 1,070 assists, and 56 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the league), along with 84 double plays.

Pitcher Glasnow carries a career record of 40-34 with a FIP of 3.70, having faced 2,954 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 557 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 275 walks with an ERA of 3.76 (301 earned runs). Glasnow totals 720 innings logged and 918 strikeouts to his name.

The San Diego Padres, on the other hand, have achieved a team OBP of .321 coupled with a batting average of .251. They have struck out 871 times (28th in MLB) while totaling 1,049 hits. With 106 home runs this year and 485 RBIs, the Padres have a team slugging percentage of .383, averaging 4.14 runs per game (23rd in the league). They recorded 200 doubles and 406 walks, bringing in a total of 518 runs.

San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 475 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 3.58 (439 earned runs). They have given up 124 home runs and average 3.87 runs per 9 innings (3rd in league rankings). With a WHIP of 1.207 and a FIP of 3.89, their staff features a strong strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.70 (1,074 strikeouts versus 411 walks) and ranks first in the league in total hits allowed with 923.

In 143 save opportunities, the Padres have managed 84 holds and experienced 15 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 55 save chances and successfully obtained 40 saves. The bullpen has made 172 high-leverage appearances, facing 146 situations with runners on base. The inherited score percentage for these relievers stands at 27.5%, having inherited 207 runners. With a save percentage of 72.7%, the Padres rank 2nd in the league and have utilized 439 relievers this season.

Defensively, San Diego has turned 94 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). They recorded 948 assists, 57 errors, and 3,315 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency sits at 71.6% through 9,945 innings played, ranking them 2nd in the majors.

Cortes Jr. has, throughout his career, given up 524 hits while accumulating 597 strikeouts in 591 innings pitched. With a career record of 34-23, he has established a 3.88 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings and yielding 255 earned runs. His WHIP sits at 1.183, with a FIP of 3.80 and a K/BB ratio of 3.41 after facing 2,439 batters.

Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or via moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on San Diego (+125)

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