- Matchup: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Houston (-160) Cincinnati (+132)
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The Cincinnati Reds (20-18) are set to take on the Houston Astros (15-23) at Great American Ball Park this Saturday. Currently, the moneyline for this game shows Houston at -160, while Cincinnati stands at +132. The total runs projected for the game is set at 8.5, with Spencer Arrighetti and Chase Burns expected to be on the mound for their respective teams.
The Astros have amassed 73 doubles and hit 47 home runs so far this season. Houston boasts a slugging percentage of .429, has been struck out 301 times, and drawn walks 139 times. They average 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in the MLB. With 175 RBIs and 339 hits this season, they maintain a batting average of .261 and have scored 185 runs with an on-base percentage of .338.
The Astros have a K/BB ratio of 1.70, with the pitching staff holding a collective WHIP of 1.63. They’ve surrendered 53 home runs and 222 runs total (30th in MLB). The team has allowed 341 hits at an average of 9.2 hits per 9 innings, resulting in 215 earned runs and an ERA of 5.82 this season (last in MLB). The pitching staff has recorded 341 strikeouts while walking 201 batters, with a FIP of 5.19 this year.
Houston has utilized 121 relief pitchers thus far. The bullpen has inherited 74 runners, with 28.4% scoring. They have managed 13 holds this season (ranked 27th in MLB) and have entered high-pressure situations 29 times. So far, they have 8 saves but missed on 1 of 9 opportunities. The Astros’ relief corps has a save percentage of 88.9% and has encountered 22 save situations.
Defensively, the Astros have made 997 putouts, accumulated 289 assists, and committed 13 errors for a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 4th in professional baseball. They have turned 38 double plays and converted 67.1% of balls in play into outs over 2,991 innings, placing them 28th overall in MLB.
Arrighetti has logged 203 innings in his professional career, striking out 227 batters. With a career record of 12-18, he holds a FIP of 4.32, having faced 889 batters in the majors. His ERA stands at 4.39 (99 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.398, having given up 185 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) along with 99 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds maintain an OBP of .306 and a batting average of .220 for the season. They’ve struck out 356 times (3rd in MLB) while recording 279 hits. Cincinnati has hit 52 homers and driven in 145 RBIs, holding a SLG% of .387. They average 4.11 runs per game (23rd in the league), have notched 52 doubles, walked 151 times, and scored 156 runs overall.
With a team WHIP of 1.510 and a FIP of 4.80, the Reds’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80 (293 strikeouts to 184 walks). They currently rank 24th in the league for total hits allowed, totaling 328. They’ve allowed 42 home runs and give up 4.94 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league), with an ERA of 4.59 from allowing 186 runs (173 earned runs).
The Reds have had 45 save opportunities, achieving 26 holds, but have also recorded 8 blown saves. In 18 save opportunities, they have secured 10 saves. Their relievers’ inherited scoring rate stands at 24.6%, with 52 high-leverage appearances and 44 situations with runners on. Ranked 22nd in MLB, their save percentage is 55.6%, having deployed 143 bullpen pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Reds have executed 38 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in MLB). They have tallied 329 assists, 15 errors, and recorded 1,018 putouts this year. Across 3,054 innings played, they have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in MLB).
In his career, Burns has allowed 70 hits while recording 113 strikeouts over 84 innings. With a 3-4 win-loss record, he holds a 3.42 ERA, succumbing to 7.5 hits per nine innings. Having allowed 32 earned runs, his WHIP is 1.177 with a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.90, having faced 349 batters throughout his career.
Who’s your pick to win in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Houston (-160)
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