Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Forecast, 8/24/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Forecast, 8/24/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025

Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Moneyline Odds: Washington (+125) Philadelphia (-150)

The Washington Nationals (52-75) are headed to Citizens Bank Park to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (74-53) on Sunday. The Nationals carry a moneyline of +125, while the Phillies stand at -150. The total run line for this matchup is set at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers include Jake Irvin for the Nationals and Ranger Suarez for the Phillies.

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This season, the Washington Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 20th in the league. They have scored a total of 546 runs, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .309. The team has hit 210 doubles and launched 120 home runs, accumulating 526 RBIs and 1,039 hits, which translates to a batting average of .244. The Nationals also boast a slugging percentage of .388 and have been struck out 999 times, while drawing 364 walks.

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This season, the Nationals have an ERA of 5.32, placing them 29th in the league, while they have struck out 964 batters. Their pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and a total of 697 runs (again, 29th in MLB). As a group, they have issued 431 walks, with a FIP of 4.61. Washington’s pitchers have given up 1,180 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 660 earned runs. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.24 and a team WHIP of 1.44.

Throughout the season, the Nationals have utilized 449 relievers, inheriting 221 base runners, of which 39.8% have scored. They have secured 26 saves out of 41 attempts, achieving a save percentage of 63.4% while entering 97 save situations. The bullpen has also earned 55 holds (27th in MLB). Nationals pitchers have faced runners on base 131 times, with 99 appearances in crucial high-pressure situations.

The Nationals have tallied 3,349 putouts, alongside 1,097 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .985, ranking 20th in MLB, with 102 double plays executed. They have turned 67.8% of balls hit into play into outs during 10,047 innings, placing them 29th in professional baseball.

Jake Irvin, with a career record of 21-29, holds a FIP of 4.68 and has faced 1,934 batters in Major League Baseball. He has permitted 445 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 156 walks. His ERA is 4.76 (240 earned runs), while his WHIP stands at 1.323. Over 454 innings, Irvin has accumulated 352 strikeouts.

The Philadelphia Phillies feature a .328 OBP and a .258 batting average this season. They have struck out 1,017 times (20th in MLB) while achieving 1,115 hits overall. The Phillies have launched 156 home runs and recorded 579 RBIs, averaging 4.76 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have 211 doubles, with 417 walks and 604 runs to their credit.

The Phillies maintain a team WHIP of 1.230 with a FIP of 3.65. They rank 16th in MLB in total hits allowed, at 1,047. The pitching staff has given up 505 runs and holds a collective ERA of 3.77 (472 earned runs). They enjoy a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (1,166 strikeouts to 340 walks) and have allowed 138 home runs, yielding 4.03 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).

This season, Philadelphia’s bullpen has entered 53 save situations, securing 34 saves, ranking them 11th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.2%. They have utilized 391 relievers, with 127 high-leverage appearances and 85 occasions with runners on base. The Phillies’ bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 32.0% out of 122 inherited runners. Out of 114 save situations, they have accumulated 60 holds and 19 blown saves.

In their 10,155 defensive innings, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in professional baseball). They have turned 78 double plays and hold a .990 fielding percentage (3rd in MLB). The defensive tally includes 1,092 assists, 46 errors, and 3,385 putouts.

Ranger Suarez, with a career record of 50-35, has conceded 684 hits and struck out 665 batters over 723 innings pitched. He has a 3.40 ERA and permits 8.5 hits per 9 innings, having allowed 273 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.265 and his FIP is 3.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.88 against 3,036 batters faced in his career.

Which team will prevail in today’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Washington (+125)

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