- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins
- Event Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: Twins.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-182), Minnesota (+150)
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On Tuesday, the Minnesota Twins (18-23) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (19-22) at Target Field. Current odds give Miami the edge at -182, while Minnesota is positioned at +150. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8 runs. The anticipated starting pitchers are Eury Perez for the Marlins and Bailey Ober for the Twins.
The Miami Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. This season, they’ve accumulated 176 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .327. The Marlins have hit 65 doubles and blasted 32 home runs. They also have 166 RBIs and 335 total hits, contributing to a team batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage stands at .378, and they’ve been struck out 334 times while walking 142 times.
This season, the Marlins boast a team ERA of 4.06, placing them 14th in the league, while recording 339 strikeouts. The pitching staff has allowed 33 home runs and a total of 179 runs, ranking them 17th in the majors. They have walked 151 batters, with a collective FIP of 3.82. Miami’s pitchers have recorded 305 hits allowed, averaging 7.6 hits per 9 innings, and 163 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.26.
This season, Marlins relievers have seen 30 appearances with runners on base and 39 high-leverage situations, posting 23 holds (13th in the league). They have a save success rate of 63.2%, having converted 12 of 19 chances into saves. The bullpen has inherited 44 runners in total, yielding runs to 25.0%. Overall, Miami has utilized 126 relief pitchers this season.
On defense, the Marlins have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over 3,255 innings, placing them 8th in MLB. They have accumulated 1,085 putouts, complemented by 324 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is .982, ranking 26th in the league, including 27 double plays.
Eury Perez has pitched 227 innings in his career, registering 258 strikeouts. With a professional win-loss record of 14-16 and a FIP of 3.90, he’s faced 941 batters in the majors, earning an ERA of 3.96 (100 ERs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.153 with 178 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and 84 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have a .325 on-base percentage and a .237 team batting average this season. They’ve struck out 358 times (9th in the league) and logged 326 hits. With 45 home runs and 184 RBIs, the Twins have a slugging percentage of .383 and are scoring an average of 4.73 runs per game (9th in MLB). They’ve hit 60 doubles and have walked 158 times, generating 194 total runs.
On the pitching side, the Twins have given up 206 runs, with a team ERA of 4.63 (185 earned runs). They’ve allowed 39 home runs and have a 5.15 runs per 9 innings average (26th in the league). Their team WHIP is 1.386, along with a collective FIP of 4.31. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80, recording 310 strikeouts against 154 walks. The Twins rank 23rd in the league for total hits allowed, with 345 hits given up.
In save situations, the Twins have recorded 39 opportunities, totaling 26 holds and 5 blown saves. Their bullpen has stepped in during 13 save opportunities, successfully converting 8 into saves. The inherited score percentage for Minnesota’s relievers stands at 37.3% from 67 inherited runners. In high-leverage situations, they’ve been on the mound 38 times as well as 47 times with base runners, yielding a save percentage of 61.5% and employing 140 relief pitchers during the year.
The Twins rank 22nd in defensive efficiency, posting a 69.4% rate across 3,240 innings. They’ve turned 32 double plays while holding a fielding percentage of .986 (19th overall). This season, they have 316 assists, 20 errors, and 1,080 putouts.
Through his career, Bailey Ober has allowed 596 hits and collected 636 strikeouts in 660 innings pitched. With a 34-32 career win-loss record, he owns an ERA of 4.09, allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings, while also having 300 earned runs against his name. His WHIP stands at 1.127, reflecting a FIP of 4.0 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.30 after facing 2,696 opponents throughout his MLB journey.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Pick: Take Minnesota (+150)
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