- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
- Game Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN
- Betting Odds: New York (-128) Baltimore (+106)
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The Baltimore Orioles (18-23) will face off against the New York Yankees (26-15) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this Tuesday. The betting line for the game places the Yankees at -128, while the Orioles are at +106. The game has an over/under set at 8 runs, with Will Warren and Trevor Rogers as the starting pitchers.
This season, the New York Yankees have a slugging percentage of .442 and have struck out 363 times while drawing 186 walks. They have amassed 204 RBIs and 321 hits, with a batting average sitting at .239. The Yankees have hit 70 doubles and launched 63 home runs, totaling 215 runs scored, and sporting an on-base percentage of .333. Currently, the Yankees average 5.2 runs per game, ranking 4th in the league.
New York’s pitching staff boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.16. To date, they have allowed 33 home runs and 142 total runs, which ranks 4th in the league. The Yankees have given up 296 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 127 earned runs, maintaining an impressive team earned run average of 3.14 this season (2nd in MLB). Their pitchers have recorded 358 strikeouts while allowing 126 walks, leading to a collective FIP of 3.51.
The Yankees’ bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 58.8% and has been involved in 41 save situations, securing 10 saves while failing 7 times. Relief pitchers have inherited 72 base runners this season, with 26.4% scoring. The Yankees have called upon pitchers in high-pressure situations 48 times, utilizing 132 relief pitchers for 23 holds on the year, placing them 14th in MLB.
Defensively, the Yankees convert 71.4% of balls in play into outs across 3,276 innings, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. They have recorded 1,092 putouts, 388 assists, and committed 21 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB) along with 31 double plays.
Pitcher Will Warren has thrown 226 innings throughout his MLB career, recording 253 strikeouts. With a career record of 13-12, his FIP stands at 4.78 against 995 batters, while his earned run average is 4.85, having allowed 122 earned runs and 230 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) along with 86 walks.
The Baltimore Orioles, on the other hand, hold a .319 on-base percentage and a .232 batting average this season. They have struck out 378 times (ranking 5th in the league) and made 315 hits. The Orioles have hit 42 home runs and achieved 178 RBIs, with a team slugging percentage of .383, averaging 4.41 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have also hit 70 doubles, drawn 167 walks, and scored a total of 181 runs.
Baltimore’s pitching staff currently holds a WHIP of 1.458 and a FIP of 4.38. Their K/BB ratio is at 8.50, with 342 strikeouts and 152 walks. Ranking 28th in the league, they have allowed 376 hits and 49 home runs, surrendering 5.52 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). To this point in the season, the Orioles have given up 222 runs, with a team ERA of 4.75 (191 earned runs allowed).
The Orioles have a 75.0% save percentage, ranking 5th in baseball, and have used 142 relievers this season. Their bullpen has appeared 42 times in high-leverage scenarios and 37 times with runners on base. Baltimore maintains a record of 25 holds and 4 blown saves from 42 save opportunities, securing 12 saves in 16 chances, while their inherited runner scoring percentage is 15.4% from 52 inherited runners.
With 3,261 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency rating of 67.0% (29th in professional baseball). They have recorded 33 double plays and a .982 fielding percentage (28th in the majors), with a total of 346 assists, 27 errors, and 1,087 putouts this season.
Pitcher Trevor Rogers, with a career record of 26-40, has achieved a 3.88 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67, having faced 2,354 hitters in his career. Rogers has given up 237 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 3.8. He has allowed 515 hits while striking out 548 batters in 550 innings throughout his MLB journey.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the point spread or on the moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Baltimore (+106)
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