- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)
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The Cincinnati Reds (28-25) are set to visit Citi Field on Tuesday for a game against the New York Mets (22-32). The current moneyline offers the Reds at +106 and the Mets at -128, with a game total set at 9. The slated starting pitchers are Chase Burns and David Peterson.
This season, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 13th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 229 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .310. The team has hit 80 doubles and launched 66 home runs. With 216 RBIs and 396 hits, their batting average stands at .227. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .393, recording 475 strikeouts while drawing 200 walks.
As for pitching, the Reds have a team ERA of 4.78 (ranking 25th in MLB) and have recorded 402 strikeouts. The pitching staff has allowed 72 home runs and 263 runs, also placing 25th in the league. They have issued 244 walks, with a collective FIP of 5.09 so far this season. Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 439 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 247 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 1.65, and the overall WHIP is 1.47.
The Reds’ bullpen has faced runners on base 56 times and has appeared in high-pressure situations 64 times, racking up 39 holds (6th in MLB). Their save percentage is 56.5%, having entered 63 save opportunities with 13 successful saves and 10 blown saves. Inheriting 76 base runners, they have allowed 30.3% of those runners to score. This season, 194 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Cincinnati.
Defensively, the Reds have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over 4,188 innings, ranking 8th in MLB. Cincinnati’s defensive statistics include 1,396 putouts, 438 assists, and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .988, placing them 11th in the league. They have turned 48 double plays.
Chase Burns has pitched 102 innings, with a career total of 131 strikeouts. Holding a 6-4 win-loss record, his FIP is 2.95, having faced 415 batters with an earned run average of 3.00 (34 ERs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.107, allowing 79 hits (7.0 per 9 innings) and 34 walks.
The Mets currently register a team slugging percentage of .349 and average 3.89 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have secured 68 doubles, drawn 158 walks, and accounted for 206 runs. With 46 home runs, they also have 196 RBIs, but have struck out 422 times (23rd in the league) with a total of 402 hits. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .293, alongside a batting average of .226 this season.
The Mets boast a team WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 3.66. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 9.20 (487 strikeouts to 193 walks) and they rank 12th in the league for total hits allowed, with 418. Moreover, they have given up 46 home runs and surrender an average of 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The New York pitching staff’s ERA is 3.85, having allowed 227 runs (203 earned runs).
Currently, they rank 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.1%, utilizing 156 relief pitchers throughout the season. The bullpen has pitched in 71 high-leverage games and 57 games with runners on base. Out of 32 save opportunities, the Mets have achieved 18 holds and incurred 6 blown saves. The relief crew has made 14 appearances during save opportunities, converting 8 save chances successfully. Their inherited score rate sits at 36.5% for 74 involvements this season.
In 4,278 innings, the Mets have recorded a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (23rd in MLB), committing 28 errors with a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB) and making 30 double plays. This season, they have achieved 434 assists and 1,426 putouts.
David Peterson (40-34 win-loss record) boasts a 4.19 earned run average, allowing 8.7 hits per 9 innings. With a 2.35 strikeout-to-walk ratio facing 2,896 batters in his career, he has conceded 312 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.387 and a FIP of 4.1. Over his career, Peterson has allowed 648 hits and has tallied 663 strikeouts in 670 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Take Cincinnati (+106)
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