Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: NBC Bay Area
Betting Odds: Chicago (-160) San Francisco (+132)
This Thursday, Oracle Park will host a thrilling encounter as the San Francisco Giants (64-68) face off against the Chicago Cubs (76-56). The Cubs enter the game favored at -160, while the Giants open at +132. The projected total runs for the game is 8. Expected starting pitchers are Shota Imanaga for Chicago and Logan Webb for San Francisco.
As a team, the Chicago Cubs are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 6th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 650 runs this season with an on-base percentage of .319. The Cubs have hit 218 doubles and 178 home runs, totaling 634 RBIs and 1,120 hits, while maintaining a team batting average of .249. Their slugging percentage stands at .427, with 1,024 strikeouts against 446 walks.
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The Cubs hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.20. This season, Cubs pitchers have conceded 161 home runs and a total of 527 runs (5th in MLB). They’ve allowed 1,057 hits for an average of 8.1 per 9 innings, leading to 491 earned runs. The team’s ERA stands at 3.77, ranking 7th overall, with 1,012 strikeouts. They’ve given up 343 walks this year, with a collective FIP of 4.17.
Cubs relief pitchers are converting saves at a rate of 70.0%, having been called into action in 141 save situations. The bullpen has inherited 121 baserunners, with 30.6% crossing home plate. Cubs relievers have taken the mound with runners on base 86 times and have made 127 high-leverage appearances. Throughout the year, 428 relief pitchers have been utilized, resulting in 88 holds (5th in MLB) and 35 successful saves, with 15 blown saves.
The Cubs have converted 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs over 10,545 innings, placing them 3rd in baseball. The team has recorded 3,515 putouts, 1,110 assists, and 53 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 4th in the league with 102 double plays.
Imanaga has pitched 283 innings in his MLB career, recording 264 strikeouts. With a career record of 23-9, he boasts a FIP of 2.91 and has faced 1,122 batters. His ERA is at 2.96 (allowing 93 earned runs) with a WHIP of 0.989, having given up 231 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) along with 49 walks.
The Giants are struggling offensively, averaging 4.05 runs per game (25th in MLB) and holding a slugging percentage of .377. They have notched 198 doubles, 447 walks, and 535 runs, including 130 home runs and 509 RBIs. San Francisco has been struck out 1,142 times (12th in baseball) and has a total of 1,012 hits. Their on-base percentage is .308, with a team batting average of .231 this season.
The San Francisco pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.285 and a FIP of 3.70 so far this year, with a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,105 strikeouts versus 413 walks). They rank 18th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,087. The team has given up 114 home runs and allows 4.18 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB), conceding a total of 542 runs with an ERA of 3.72 (483 earned runs).
In 49 save opportunities, San Francisco relievers have converted 31 saves, giving them a 63.3% success rate, which ranks 15th in the league. They have sent 420 pitchers to the mound this season, appearing in high-leverage situations 143 times and 94 times with runners on base. Their inherited score rate stands at 34.7% for 150 inherited runners. With 121 save situations, the Giants have collected 72 holds along with 18 blown saves.
Defensively, the Giants have turned 104 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in MLB), with 1,236 assists, 78 errors, and 3,503 putouts recorded this year. They hold a defensive efficiency rate of 68.7% over 10,509 innings played (26th in professional baseball).
Webb, sporting a career win-loss record of 67-51, possesses a 3.38 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.94, having faced 4,185 batters in his career. He has given up 383 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.192 and a FIP of 3.3, surrendering 976 hits while recording 950 strikeouts over 1,021 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Bet on San Francisco (+132) and the under 8 runs.
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