- Matchup: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-182) Cincinnati Reds (+150)
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The New York Mets (32-40) are heading to Great American Ball Park this Wednesday to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (34-37). The betting line has the Mets favored at -182 while the Reds are listed at +150. The total runs anticipated for the game is set at 8. The starting pitchers for this matchup are expected to be Nolan McLean and Nick Lodolo.
The Mets have recorded 92 doubles and hit 76 home runs as a team. They possess a slugging percentage of .369 and have struck out 592 times, while earning 205 walks. Collectively, the New York Mets are generating 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 27th in the league. They have amassed 274 RBIs and 551 hits throughout the season, maintaining a batting average of .229 along with a team on-base percentage of .295.
New York showcases a K/BB ratio of 2.51, and their pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have allowed 70 home runs along with 311 total runs (14th in MLB). The team has given up 562 hits (averaging 7.9 per 9 innings) totaling 284 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.96 this year (11th in MLB), while fanning 650 batters. The pitching unit has walked 259 batters, with a FIP of 3.85 thus far.
Mets pitchers have faced opponents on base 76 times and participated in 88 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has contributed 27 holds this season (28th in the league). Mets relievers have a 57.1% success rate in save situations, having converted 12 of 21 opportunities this year while inheriting 99 runners, with 32.3% scoring. The team has utilized 218 relief pitchers throughout the season.
Defensively, the Mets have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs across 5,802 innings, placing them 12th in MLB. The New York squad has achieved 1,934 putouts, recorded 590 assists, and made 37 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986, ranking them 20th in professional baseball, alongside 39 double plays.
McLean has pitched a total of 124 innings, striking out 145 batters during his career. With an 8-5 record, McLean has a FIP of 3.21 and has faced 505 batters in Major League Baseball. His ERA is at 3.26 (allowing 45 earned runs), and his career WHIP stands at 1.104, having allowed 90 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings), alongside 47 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds have launched 92 home runs this year, accumulating 287 RBIs. The team has also notched 109 doubles, drawn 277 walks, and scored 305 runs. Their on-base percentage stands at .313, with a batting average of .229. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .396 and average 4.30 runs per game (17th in the league). They’ve struck out 657 times (3rd in MLB) and recorded 547 total hits.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.462 and a FIP of 5.05 this campaign. Ranking 22nd in the number of hits allowed (603), the Reds’ pitchers have given up 351 runs, with an ERA of 4.61 (325 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.90 (558 strikeouts compared to 324 walks), having surrendered 98 home runs while allowing 4.98 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).
The Reds’ bullpen has a percentage of 27.2% for inherited runners scoring from their 114 inherited base runners. They’ve appeared in 91 high-leverage situations and 81 times with runners on-base. With 76 save opportunities, the Reds have earned 44 holds and experienced 15 blown saves, ranking 26th in the league with a 51.6% save success rate. The team has sent 262 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
In 5,706 innings, Cincinnati’s defense has an efficiency rating of 70.7% (9th in the majors). The Reds have turned 54 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB) with 582 assists, 35 errors, and 1,902 putouts throughout the season.
Lodolo (26-23 career record) has a 4.17 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. With a 3.68 strikeout-to-walk ratio, he has faced 1,913 batters over his professional career. He has given up 207 earned runs while achieving a WHIP of 1.232 and a FIP of 4.10, allowing 419 hits alongside 486 strikeouts across 447 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on New York (-182)
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