- Game: Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: Rockies.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-132) Colorado (+110)
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Coors Field will be the battleground where the Colorado Rockies (33-53) attempt to secure a victory against the Miami Marlins (46-40) on Thursday. The moneyline favors Miami at -132, while Colorado is set at +110. The game’s total is set at 9. Starting pitchers for the matchup are Ryan Gusto for Miami and Michael Lorenzen for Colorado.
As a team, the Marlins have recorded 147 doubles and hit 78 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .398, they have accumulated 701 strikeouts while managing 286 walks. The Marlins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 17th in the league. To date, they have 369 runs batted in and 714 hits, achieving a batting average of .251, alongside a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .326.
The Marlins have a season earned run average (ERA) of 3.96, positioning them 12th in the league. They have struck out 726 batters and allowed 82 home runs, totaling 359 runs (also 12th in the league). Their pitching staff issued 295 walks and possesses a cumulative FIP of 3.95. Additionally, Miami has given up 643 hits this year, at a rate of 7.7 hits per nine innings, leading to 333 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.46, with a team WHIP of 1.24.
This season, Marlins relievers have faced 73 instances with runners on base and have performed in 82 high-leverage situations, securing 47 holds (14th in MLB). They have a 68.8% save percentage from 80 opportunities, stopping 22 saves while failing to convert 10 out of 32 chances. Their relievers have inherited 109 runners this season, with 19.3% of those scoring. In total, 275 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Miami.
Throughout the season, the Miami Marlins have achieved 2,268 putouts, 697 assists, and committed 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983, placing them 23rd in MLB, while turning 59 double plays. Miami has converted 71.0% of batted balls into outs over 6,804 innings, ranking them 7th in the league.
Ryan Gusto has pitched 122 innings in his career, amassing 117 strikeouts. With a career ERA of 5.59 (76 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.496, he has permitted 139 hits (averaging 10.2 hits per nine innings) while issuing 44 walks. Gusto’s win-loss record stands at 7-9, with a FIP of 5.51 against 552 batters faced.
On the other side, the Colorado Rockies have produced a team on-base percentage of .325, coupled with a batting average of .254 this season. They’ve struck out 762 times (6th in MLB) and recorded 743 hits to date. The Rockies have hit 94 home runs and compiled 381 runs batted in, holding a team slugging percentage of .415 and averaging 4.62 runs per game (10th in the league). They have also achieved 161 doubles while drawing 269 walks and scoring a total of 397 runs.
The Rockies’ pitching staff has allowed 500 runs this season, resulting in an ERA of 5.63 (472 earned runs given up). They’ve conceded 118 home runs and an alarming 5.96 runs per nine innings (30th in MLB). Their collective WHIP is 1.526, with a FIP of 4.83, compiling a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.10 from 599 strikeouts against 282 walks. Currently, they rank 30th in total hits allowed with 870.
Colorado ranks 24th in MLB with a save rate of 56.3%, having called upon 260 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have faced 75 high-leverage scenarios and have been brought in 90 times with runners on base. Out of 65 save opportunities, the Rockies have earned 32 holds while incurring 14 blown saves. They have successfully converted 18 out of 32 save situations. Moreover, Colorado’s relief pitchers have faced 145 inherited runners, with a 31.0% scoring percentage.
Throughout 6,795 innings played, the Rockies’ defensive efficiency stands at 66.6%, placing them last in professional baseball. Their fielding percentage is .983 (22nd in MLB), having turned 69 double plays alongside a total of 721 assists, 51 errors, and 2,265 putouts.
Michael Lorenzen, with a 57-64 career record, holds a 4.29 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.16, having faced 4,605 batters throughout his career. Lorenzen has permitted 514 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 4.2. His MLB trajectory includes 1,041 hits allowed and 892 strikeouts over 1,077 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (-132)
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