- Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-144), Cincinnati (+120)
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The Cincinnati Reds (39-45) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (39-48) at Great American Ball Park this Friday. The current betting line places the Orioles at -144 and the Reds at +120, with a total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Trevor Rogers and Brady Singer.
This season, the Baltimore Orioles display a slugging percentage of .396, having struck out 797 times while securing 327 walks. With a total of 386 RBIs and 693 hits, their batting average sits at .238. The Orioles have hit 135 doubles and launched 100 home runs, scoring 397 runs overall, leading to an on-base percentage of .318. As a collective, the Orioles average 4.6 runs per game, ranking 13th in MLB.
The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.43 this season (22nd in MLB), with 699 strikeouts recorded. Their pitching staff has allowed 98 home runs and 435 runs (23rd in MLB), while walking 307 batters. The team’s FIP is currently sitting at 4.23. With a total of 761 hits conceded (8.9 per 9 innings), their K/BB ratio stands at 2.28, complemented by a WHIP of 1.38.
This season, Orioles relievers have a save rate of 64.3% and have participated in 76 save situations. They’ve successfully recorded 18 saves but have blown 10 of 28 chances, allowing 26.5% of the 113 inherited runners to score. With 287 relief appearances so far, the bullpen has secured 47 holds, ranking 13th in the league.
In terms of defense, the Orioles have tallied 2,315 putouts, 737 assists, and committed 54 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). They’ve turned 62 double plays, converting 68.6% of balls in play into outs over 6,945 innings, ranking 28th overall.
Trevor Rogers, with a career win-loss record of 29-44, has a FIP of 3.92 and has faced 2,558 batters. He has allowed 561 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and has a career ERA of 3.98, with 265 earned runs. His WHIP is recorded at 1.302 through 599 innings pitched, yielding 582 strikeouts over his career.
The Cincinnati Reds have hit 102 home runs this season, driving in 336 RBIs. With 137 doubles and 315 walks, they’ve accumulated 355 runs. Their on-base percentage is currently at .309 with a batting average of .227. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .389, averaging 4.23 runs per game, which places them at 20th in the league. They’ve struck out 793 times (4th in MLB), recording a total of 640 hits.
On the mound, the Reds have allowed 413 runs this year with a team ERA of 4.62 (384 earned runs). They’ve given up 118 home runs and surrendering 4.97 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Reds’ WHIP stands at 1.464, with a FIP of 5.02, and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.20, totaling 681 strikeouts against 377 walks. They rank 23rd for total hits allowed with 718 hits given up so far.
Cincinnati’s bullpen has had 87 save situations, achieving 49 holds and 17 blown saves. They’ve had 37 save opportunities, securing 20 saves. With an inherited score rate of 24.5% out of 139 inherited base runners, the Reds’ relief pitchers have been called into high-pressure situations 107 times and have appeared with runners on 100 occasions. Their save rate of 54.1% ranks 25th in the league, with a total of 303 pitchers deployed this season.
Defensively, the Reds have turned 62 double plays with a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball), recording 685 assists, 45 errors, and 2,244 putouts. Their efficiency on defense is at 70.1% in 6,732 innings, placing them 13th among major league teams.
Brady Singer holds a career record of 53-63 with a 4.31 ERA, allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.92, facing 4,003 batters. He has conceded 446 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.328 and a FIP of 4.2, having allowed 939 base hits and struck out 873 batters over 932 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Back Cincinnati (+120) and the under at 9 runs.
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