- Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Minnesota (+125) Philadelphia (-145)
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This Saturday, the Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) will host the Minnesota Twins (68-90) at Citizens Bank Park. Currently, the Twins stand at +125 on the moneyline, while the Phillies open at -145. The over/under for this match-up is set at 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers for the game are Mick Abel and Aaron Nola.
The Minnesota Twins have tallied 244 doubles and hit 185 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .397, they have recorded 1,325 strikeouts and have also drawn 488 walks. The team is averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. They have accumulated 632 RBIs and 1,264 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .239. Their on-base percentage stands at .311 with a total of 667 runs scored.
The Twins’ pitching staff has an ERA of 4.65, ranking 25th in the league, with a total of 1,327 strikeouts. They have given up 192 home runs and 768 runs overall, also placing them 25th in the league. Minnesota pitchers have walked 454 batters, with a FIP of 4.15 for the season. The team has allowed 1,391 hits (averaging 9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has given up 718 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92, with a combined team WHIP of 1.33.
This season, the Twins have utilized 530 relief pitchers, with 165 inherited base runners. Of those, 35.8% have scored. They have managed to secure 28 saves out of 52 opportunities, marking a save percentage of 53.8%. Their relievers have also earned 92 holds, ranking 10th in MLB. Furthermore, they have entered games with runners in scoring positions 115 times and appeared in 168 high-leverage situations.
The Twins’ infield has recorded 4,173 putouts, 1,184 assists, and 83 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. They have converted 95 double plays. With a conversion rate of 68.3%, the Twins rank 28th in the MLB for turning balls in play into outs over 12,519 innings.
Starting pitcher Mick Abel has pitched for 33 innings in his MLB career, striking out 30 batters. With a career record of 2-4, Abel has a FIP of 7.25 and has faced 153 batters. His ERA sits at 7.36, having allowed 27 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.667. Abel has given up 40 hits (averaging 10.9 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 15 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a team OBP of .330 and a batting average of .260 this season. They have struck out 1,291 times (19th in MLB) while accumulating 1,402 hits. This season, they have recorded 210 home runs and 747 RBIs. The Phillies enjoy a slugging percentage of .435, netting 4.89 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league, along with 267 doubles and 522 walks, resulting in 772 runs scored.
The Phillies’ pitching unit has allowed 641 runs this season, bringing their team ERA down to 3.85 (600 earned runs). They have permitted 173 home runs and average 4.11 runs allowed per 9 innings (8th in MLB). Their WHIP is at 1.241 with a FIP of 3.72 this season. The pitching staff boasts a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20, with 1,427 strikeouts against 424 walks. They rank 19th in total hits allowed, with 1,317 hits.
The Philadelphia bullpen has been utilized in 72 save opportunities, successfully converting 45, resulting in a save percentage of 62.5%. They have dispatched 493 relief pitchers to the mound this season, with 174 high-leverage appearances. The inherited runner scoring rate for the bullpen is 32.4% from 148 inherited base runners. The bullpen has been involved in 156 save situations, combining for 81 holds and 27 blown saves.
Defensively, the Phillies have turned 101 double plays while holding a fielding percentage of .989, ranking them 5th in the league. They have accumulated 1,354 assists, made 62 errors, and achieved 4,210 putouts. With a defensive efficiency of 69.0%, they rank 22nd in Major League Baseball over 12,630 innings played.
In his MLB tenure, Aaron Nola has permitted 1,520 hits and has achieved 1,867 strikeouts over 1,707 innings. He has given up 729 earned runs and has a career WHIP of 1.153 along with a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio stands at 4.16, facing 7,013 batters throughout his career. Nola, with a career record of 108-89, maintains a 3.84 ERA, allowing an average of 8.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Minnesota (+125)
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