- Matchup: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: loanDepot park in Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
- Betting Odds: New York (-122) Miami (+102)
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On Saturday, the Miami Marlins (77-81) face off against the New York Mets (81-77) at loanDepot park. The moneyline is set at Mets -122 and Marlins +102, with the total runs expected at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers for the match are Sean Manaea and Eury Perez.
The Mets are slashing .429 and have been struck out 1,288 times while drawing 545 walks. They have accumulated 732 RBIs and notched a total of 1,330 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .250. New York has recorded 256 doubles and belted 220 home runs. They have scored a total of 751 runs with a team on-base percentage of .327. As a collective, the Mets average 4.8 runs per game, positioning them 10th in the league.
This season, the Mets have an earned run average of 4.03, ranking them 18th in MLB. Their pitching staff has recorded 1,356 strikeouts, given up 145 home runs, and accounted for a total of 700 runs (also 18th in MLB). The team has issued 547 walks, while their FIP stands at 3.89. Throughout the year, New York has conceded 1,311 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per nine innings) and 626 earned runs, leading to a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and a collective WHIP of 1.33.
The Mets’ bullpen has attained a save rate of 58.2%, facing 164 save opportunities. This unit has inherited 251 base runners this season, with 34.7% crossing home plate. Mets relievers have entered the game with runners on base 171 times and have made 184 high-leverage appearances. So far, the Mets have utilized 524 relievers in 2025, achieving 96 holds (8th in the league) and converting 39 out of 67 save opportunities.
The Minnesota Twins have 4,194 putouts this year, alongside 1,436 assists and 79 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the league) while completing 117 double plays. The Mets have converted 68.7% of balls put in play into outs during their 12,582 innings, ranking them 25th in professional baseball.
Manaea has pitched a total of 1,243 innings, amassing 1,181 strikeouts in his MLB career. He holds an ERA of 4.09 (with 565 earned runs allowed) and boasts a WHIP of 1.203, having given up 1,150 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) while walking 345 batters. With a career record of 79-66, Manaea has encountered 5,189 batters in the majors, achieving a FIP of 4.03.
The Miami Marlins maintain a team on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .251 this season. They’ve faced strikeouts 1,224 times (27th in MLB) and have accumulated a total of 1,363 hits. The Marlins have launched 153 home runs and racked up 667 RBIs, sporting a slugging percentage of .396 while averaging 4.42 runs per game (16th in MLB). They also have 268 doubles while drawing 470 walks, resulting in 699 total runs.
As a staff, the Marlins have a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.37. They rank 23rd in the league in total hits allowed with 1,350 and have given up a total of 790 runs this season, achieving an ERA of 4.66. The strikeout to walk ratio stands at 8.00 (1,254 strikeouts vs 489 walks), with 197 home runs allowed, conceding 5.05 runs per nine innings (26th overall).
With 148 save opportunities, Miami has recorded 85 holds and 22 blown saves. Their bullpen has been on the mound for 61 save chances, succeeding in 39. They’ve stepped onto the mound 168 times in high-pressure situations and 125 times with runners on base. Marlins relievers have allowed 31.7% of inherited runners to score from 180 opportunities, ranking 13th in the league with a save percentage of 63.9%. They’ve utilized 501 relievers throughout the season.
The Marlins have executed 104 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in professional baseball). They’ve recorded 1,352 assists, committed 84 errors, and achieved 4,225 putouts this season. In their 12,675 innings, Miami’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.0% (14th in MLB).
In his career, Perez has allowed 137 hits while striking out 202 batters over 181 innings. He has conceded 74 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.088 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.37, having faced 737 batters in his career. Perez, with a record of 12-11, maintains a 3.68 ERA while yielding 6.8 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+102)
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